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[lastpost] => 2648631 比特币btc触底 6.1 万美元 以太坊eth步入下行通道 卡尔达诺ADA表现抢眼(转) 1715259798 mattf
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币流动性转向美国 现货ETF重塑加密货币市场(转)
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归功于美国新推出的比特币交易所交易基金(ETF),与海外平台相比,美国加密货币交易所的比特币交易显得更为容易。8 a( I6 L. A# o4 S" t* s5 V
8 {- B. }: l. _( N4 j 研究公司Kaiko的数据显示,今年到目前为止,美国交易场所的交易行为平均占比特币中间价2%以内买卖行为的近一半,4 O0 V/ G) J7 q; b P; i& \
{% q+ q% W( v, N$ Q# a% N! c该数据统计区间跨越了美国比特币现货ETF的推出事件。出价和要价在中间价2%以内的交易行为,可以在不过度扰乱价格的情6 @1 D( p, H! {! q' Q
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况下执行订单,该指标数量越多,表明流动性越好。根据这一指标,2023年,非美国平台在比特币市场深度上占据了绝大部分份额。
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* n5 {2 j4 g8 }2 _! X 今年1月11日,九个美国比特币ETF首次亮相,而拥有十多年历史的Grayscale比特币信托基金也在同一天转换为比特币ETF。迄今
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8 h! i5 F$ Y6 ~7 B) q: [9 t; [为止,包括贝莱德和富达投资在内的这组产品已经吸引了50亿美元的投资净流入。对这些产品的期待和推出,刺激了比特币价格在过
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去12个月里翻了一番。
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流动性增加
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现货ETF发行商之一VanEck的数字资产研究主管马修·西格尔(Matthew Sigel)说:“比特币的积极价格走势在美国交易时段最为
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- R4 c" I. M z, E6 |明显,因为市场参与者利用了流动性增加的优势。”
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一些观察家将比特币现货ETF视为一个拐点,称ETF将扩大加密货币的采用。乐观人士预计,数字资产交易量将从FTX交易所及其! k; h+ h. E* S+ [9 O, z
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姊妹对冲基金阿拉米达研究公司(Alameda Research)在2022年熊市中倒闭后的低迷水平恢复过来。
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ETF的影响已经显现。例如,根据Kaiko高级分析师Dessislava Aubert的数据,目前57%的比特币兑美元交易在美国市场时段进行,4 ?6 X" C' Q( x; Q( t& X
7 f: Q( B' i. I. C4 N) s: `! |2 r而一年前这一比例仅为48%。- c3 W _1 }) O
2 |' b% W: V9 M, T' {) Q 未平仓合约
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M0 G; P( U+ y. h" n* E( x- T, W 值得注意的是,在衍生品领域,芝加哥商品交易所比特币期货市场的未平仓合约正向ETF获批时创下的历史最高水平回升。未平
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仓合约的增加表明,美国机构对加密货币相关的风险敞口和对冲更感兴趣。$ ` ]& e$ ^7 ]' C0 I# {4 p, N
9 @/ n! {: x8 w" ? F$ s 在每日美国市场收盘时,比特币ETF将根据专用基准计算其资产净值,这一过程有助于发现比特币价格。1 z- U" \! n' a; F: W$ A* q
. I% E/ Q* ~# O4 I1 ^, W7 p% j 加密货币主经纪商FalconX的研究主管戴维·劳恩特(David Lawant)说,这种“透明、可靠的参考点”使投资者能够“在指定时间集& N& d6 Z) C1 x1 K( v
) t3 s" l$ f! _中进行大额交易”,因此可能减少了对市场的影响。# R& q4 g( m* C4 v: _
! S9 A& {* U; ~, a b& M Lawant说,投资者需要密切关注ETF的流入情况,因为“当买入流消退时,价格更可能回落”。
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