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2)Lv.1及其以上级别会员可以发布主题帖,Lv.1及其以上会员可以回帖
4)转帖请在主题上标明
5)禁止发布与本版块无关的主题(违反,帖子转移到相关版块,并扣50经验
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[体育菠菜心得方法] 使“输”成为小概率事件
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1#
以大博小的问题其实就是翻倍下注的问题。不少网友发的DB技巧理论文章都提到这一点,先押1个,输了押2个,再输押8个,一直押下去,最后你只能赢一个。实际上,按照我们刚才严格的概率论分析,每次出大小的概率都一样,都是50%(而你究竟押在大或者小上是无所谓的,关键是你必须把上次输的金符数目翻个倍)。除非你划11次的周期或者12次、13次的周期,严格按照周期下注,使“输”成为小概率事件——但是这样的缺点显而易见,你一天只能下几注。接着还有个问题,翻倍押法需要的本钱也要很大。最后一个障碍是,竞猜那里有金符下注的上限500,即每次你最多只能下500个金符。以大博小是能赢,但从数学上来看,前提假设是你必须有“无穷个”金符,并且不设置下注的上限。我天天在竞猜那里,一般也采取这个办法,而且还能赢几个,但是我知道,总有一天我会碰上“连续11次小”之类的事情,最后我破产——因为数学上的分析。当然,我们唯一可以做的是,我们下得少一点,这样担的风险小一点,就算输了也不至于把内裤也输掉。
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最后,结论就是:
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1、大小的概率各50%;6 _' g0 B- [. l: q! Q6 U

! H3 S# K$ N- ]3 F1 }3 f; `% J8 C2、连续下注的时候,连续10次大或者小的概率比较低,但它并非是小概率事件;
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3、下注越少,风险就越少;
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4、谨慎投资。至于有些人说的连续7次小后,大的概率是99%之类,完全是胡说八道。
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我相信聪明的你一定会有所甄别。网上真钱游戏还要说下,真的没必要发那种错误的文章了,免得被史柱柱先生笑话我们数学水平这么这么低
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2#
这个方法 不错啊。。。。。。。
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3#
楼上的可以试试看
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4#
感谢楼主分享,祝楼主长赢!
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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
谢楼主分享,祝楼主长赢!
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
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