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博彩公司对一场比赛开出的各种赔率对于研究体育博彩是一个有利的武器。2 ^2 X3 S2 ^) @3 \! b/ \2 Z+ g
步骤一:利用胜平负赔率搞清胜负关系
$ O# ` I2 }/ N. K7 N欧洲博彩对同一场比赛开出三种赔率。即胜、负、平三种赔率。例如雷吉纳VS布雷西亚的比赛,欧洲著名的博彩公司威廉希尔开出了2.10、2.80、3.40的赔率,即是说下注者可以对任何一种结果下注,如果本金是1元钱,那么如果雷吉纳获胜,则下注雷吉纳胜的投资者可以赢取2.10元;如果是平局,下注双方打平者可以得到2.80元,如果布雷西亚取得了胜利,那么下注布雷西亚的投资者可以得到3.40元,可以看出某个赔率代表了某种结果出现的可能性有多大,显然,数值越小可能性也就越大。这样我们可以根据赔率判断本场比赛雷吉纳胜或平的可能最大。
4 \5 Y" f2 d% m5 K! L8 s1 O! n& K步骤二:波胆赔率确定大体进球数
9 z0 _( Y0 T2 D5 o波胆赔率对一场比赛的各种比分开有不同赔率。例如:雷吉纳VS布雷西亚的比赛,博彩公司对雷吉纳开出胜、平比分赔率:1:0赔率为7,2:0赔率为9,2:1赔率为10,3:0赔率为25,3:1赔率为23,3:2赔率为28,4:0赔率为61,4:1赔率为51,4:2赔率为61,4:3赔率为91,0:0赔率为6,1:1赔率为5.5,2:2赔率为18,3:3赔率为71,4:4赔率为201.对布雷西亚开出胜的比分赔率(雷吉纳负的比分赔率)1:0赔率为8,2:0赔率为14,2:1赔率为13,3:0赔率为43,3:1赔率为38,3:2赔率为38,4:0赔率为101,4:1赔率为101,4:2赔率为101,4:3赔率为101.从这场比赛的波胆赔率可以发现,雷吉纳0:0、1:1平的赔率最低,也就是本场比赛平局的可能最大,这样雷吉纳的进球数在0-2球、布雷西亚的进球也在0-1球。这样利用波胆赔率确定出各队进球范围。!/ S5 u5 @' l0 }' i0 Q! x9 S
步骤三:历史交锋记录确定进球数# y- q( N* G: ?# |$ R
E+ b2 H( J) \9 `6 x- E! E8 x" L2 Z
最后,我们就可以利用两队历史交锋记录确定各队进球数。雷吉纳VS布雷西亚近三年交战5场,2平3负未有胜迹,其中主场1平1负。由威廉希尔赔率我们判断的是雷吉纳胜或平,结合历史交锋,这场比赛应是一场平局,这样波胆赔率中雷吉纳的2个进球将被排除。雷吉纳和布雷西亚的进球数应相同,都在0-1球之间,比分不是0:0,就是1:1 |
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