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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。1 C$ b" ]2 f( V5 W3 R8 v) H
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
5 ~3 H& T& ~6 j. m在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。5 y+ b0 d6 j4 M- s2 i
0 B$ V* U" p2 p7 U) Q! E6 A. j尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。7 R8 Q! h- S3 }. ?0 l
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长期持有者没有抛售迹象
5 \3 P3 x& c, }比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
3 K% O7 T4 d4 u) z8 v! H8 [3 p5 l% h5 Y0 l$ q7 N
值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。6 p1 C6 `- M5 Z( S: T9 `" A$ L5 W
( j/ K( I. q( V/ N7 l截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。0 _* p! z* X8 |& `' G
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。* o: V) z I K
; W$ S3 p' I& E" d从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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, [4 o( X, R. e& E$ \% M1 pAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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5 O# Q- G5 B2 h! n! v( L现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
4 r) {! t5 f |现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。9 f! j4 A( K' Z h
. I# Y5 {6 l. C5 Y( n9 i1 }0 Q* N; e
过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。/ O+ C0 J* o9 ~ R; f
4 v2 F! N0 p; f j与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。) P/ n, Z( e) g6 U# l2 p
5 Z: P0 r' K2 o4 z" n$ @
此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。 z9 \$ f4 Z: ~. O4 g a$ g
( F' a4 b7 F4 }4 Z问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
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% [" r2 R/ h; w8 C! C2 t- p2 k _* _4 D加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？! }6 H" [ Z# t b6 v' u/ S/ ^
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
: Q/ H" _$ o& l) k7 @7 Q
7 N$ G( x, Q# f; d1 t& s当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。
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; C5 _4 |; s: x/ d" X/ D5 u该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。( v; r. B/ J1 f5 \ F- i0 @
8 `# K) u8 h) z当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。8 s! @; l2 N7 B; Y0 G! H
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