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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；2 R/ G; E* m( M V5 c# [' n2 {
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；
4 ~) x6 ^$ k, H c1 e比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；
' k& b# ]2 Q1 n+ V& h! \0 m5 Y" b. ?
根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；2 l6 m# C! {' c6 w) j8 Q
: I6 i. `: P- S# e: j
在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
, v9 C* [4 o$ o. o3 t, S6 F$ d3 }
$ a. @; M5 K+ ~, E下一步BTC上涨？% m$ ^( |' V1 C, V
采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
8 i: G( ^ M/ p4 ^1 j9 m) E7 H) j1 b
此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；, ^" g I8 P9 u+ F
( T, ?3 Z1 r: |! D, N: A' I
尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
0 t; L1 P5 c6 t$ z4 B- B
( C3 `% d9 E3 T: d2 bBlockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
3 X- O& l& o5 D' _
- S3 w0 H& x9 p“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
' y4 ^) G& K- b) ]/ ^
+ W" ^) _, ~* V" S" I9 [另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；. E' g# {8 X# j g0 _, A% H3 J
n; O$ S+ L& X5 y1 k' W, t6 i
自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
" J. V. J S8 C2 M; Q [. z2 d% A: e$ j/ ^5 q$ }/ ?" u' ?
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。- z$ J* R0 r' }+ T
; w& i: n) @8 R: S: c在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
# A! o& e9 S/ d% \7 K
/ {+ Z/ `/ Y; `“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；/ {. S7 J1 E& `0 @& O3 n0 u
$ ]% _. ^- D2 n
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