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[lastpost] => 2811828 比特币周三快速上涨 加密货币反弹是因为特朗普又表态？（转） 1772713855 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格分析：在6.9万美元被拒绝后，BTC获得新ATH的机会有多大？（转）
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在最近的牛市中，比特币的价格尚未达到历史新高，因为卖家正在捍卫他们的最后一道防线。+ ?* B: e5 I# C `: a* ?& a
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技术分析
' j, K8 o+ k2 L9 q% y- WBy埃德里斯·德拉赫希（TradingRage）
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每日图表- U: m" `4 G6 A
在日线图上，该资产最近反弹至6.4万美元水平和200天移动平均线之上，位于同一区域附近。这一上升趋势大大提高了比特币很快创下历史新高的可能性。) t. k) p* j' p
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然而，卖家很好地捍卫了6.9万美元的阻力位，因为价格正在下跌。如果出现大幅回调，可以重新测试200天移动平均线。+ |, t M/ P0 v" r! v# a$ x& E
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4小时图表2 v D0 K# \5 Q8 H
基于价格走势和动量分析，4小时图显示了明显的看跌信号。市场最近在6.9万美元的关键阻力区形成了一个上升的楔形。然而，RSI与最近的价格高点显示出明显的看跌背离。. l& @) M. F! d# ^
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这导致了模式的崩溃，这是一个典型的看跌反转信号。RSI也显示低于50%的值，这表明动量在4小时内看跌。然而，由于整体市场结构仍然看涨，这一举措很可能只是暂时的调整。% d: U s+ t5 m5 M
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情绪分析
1 X; \1 D$ z0 Q7 J/ ?# S+ OBy埃德里斯·德拉赫希（TradingRage）
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比特币芝加哥商品交易所期权未平仓合约（叠加）1 Q4 p7 j) L* H; L
在比特币最近的价格上涨中，投资者越来越乐观地认为，不久将出现新的历史新高和长期反弹。然而，这种乐观情绪有可能导致市场下跌。
2 o* z" S4 { Q
, {6 @4 d ]) G; E此图表显示了比特币芝加哥商品交易所期权未平仓合约（堆叠），它衡量了未平仓期权头寸的数量，包括看涨期权和看跌期权。显然，与牛市早期和接近市场底部的水平相比，期权未平仓合约（OI）总额显著下降，在牛市早期和市场底部，看涨期权和看跌期权都堆积得更重。
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i0 r: w8 F$ n& IOI的下降表明，投资者对比特币价格走势的不确定性减少了，导致他们采取了更具方向性的头寸，减少了通过期权进行对冲的需要。与此同时，对芝加哥商品交易所期货的开放兴趣日益增加，表明投资者对这一趋势越来越有信心，愿意采取更多杠杆头寸并承担更大的风险。不用说，杠杆是一把双刃剑。1 a. p! |% s/ |% S0 Y
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