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[虚拟币交流]
比特币形成了一个局部底部：比特币能从这里走高吗？（转）
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比特币[BTC]在以色列和伊朗之间的地缘ZZ紧张局势急剧下降后，表现出了韧性。截至发稿时，比特币的交易价格约为62000美元，显示出夺回63000美元水平的迹象。
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" n6 {9 g* A/ U( H& M' h; i最近多头头寸的清算可能已经建立了一个局部底部，表明BTC可能会进一步上涨，这个底部是本月的低点。
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在大幅下跌期间，长期合约通常会因清算而大幅下跌，从而减轻抛售压力。! T+ ?% E" N2 E2 i/ e$ e" m. E
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关键流动性水平保持稳定，高于新闻发布时的价格68900美元至69300美元，低于新闻发布时价格56800美元至57400美元。: i" S }+ v' Z
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一个新的流动性集群也出现在66500美元至66800美元的区间，这表明价格可能很快就会瞄准这一区域。4 v, f B5 J. A' P- j0 t) z
8 k# W: v; w5 I/ U2 d( U尽管比特币的价格在55K美元至75K美元之间波动了200多天，但比特币仍然处于稳固的地位。
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它在周线图上交易高于100周移动平均线（100MA），在宏观层面保持强势。6 |: }0 I; Z) ~4 V% G1 S
9 W, z2 }) |" T1 g* u" ^值得注意的是，BTC现在比最新的比特币减半时间晚了170天，历史模式显示，新的历史高点（ATH）往往在前一个周期的峰值后约1080天形成。9 u: ]8 S2 Z# V. b8 G+ Q
; y' i9 z' _8 }8 E: H- l/ [这表明，如果历史证明是正确的，比特币可能会从目前的水平走高。5 O$ P& R } a6 G. I
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Coinbase高级指标
: p* A0 x* r) K4 F; j6 J5 n( z: ]* ACryptoQuant上的Coinbase Premium工具加剧了这一看涨前景，该工具突显了BTC的短期增长。
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当黄金十字架形成时，如之前的价格走势所示，比特币通常会经历短期上涨。这一指标进一步证明，BTC可能会从目前的本地底部上涨。
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美国比特币现货ETF需求
9 ] E" ^3 {9 O% z9 }美国现货ETF对比特币的需求也在上升。9月初，现货ETF是净卖家，但到本月底，他们已经购买了7000 BTC，这是自2021年7月以来的最高水平。
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2024年第一季度，现货ETF每天购买近9000 BTC，将价格推至新高。如果这种购买趋势继续下去，比特币的价格可能会在2024年最后一个季度进一步上涨。& x3 k% J% ~+ J. w
, }+ h& t- l3 ?鲸鱼保持稳定1 g+ s6 q% n7 s. @& d. ]. h
此外，大型比特币持有者，或“鲸鱼”，表现出历史上较低的获利回吐水平，表明对未来价格增长的信心。
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$ t) s6 x! w7 E; i, D* D* l/ v鲸鱼一直在不同的地址分发他们的BTC，现在只有1975个地址持有1000到10000个BTC。& {3 B+ h( N4 Z9 [
& [& y2 J& w- d+ G, a$ o( p& T尽管最近出现了一些抛售，但与之前的周期相比，鲸鱼的利润微乎其微，这进一步支持了比特币价格将从这里上涨的观点，因为它们寻求最大化收益。1 h4 @; }! H# N6 U9 z
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