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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人
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3 z9 l8 c8 ?3 n* U. K! }, ^9 o认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，9 z% j. {) _, x4 q- ?# s% j% P
' `3 v: V1 A4 W3 d: Y4 M) c而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
+ G$ x- L+ u& ^2 L1 V
# g# K' b- s& }% i的千禧一代。
/ k" w; P+ B5 }' P从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB- G# q) r& Z! @( D3 U* _8 A, h
1 r" k: A/ r8 P) c: G! V
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“! Q8 o% E% ^4 I3 y0 H3 i
9 O4 @5 _( n1 d
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
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: o8 t. |! V. M! [, t3 g密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据+ m9 g" r# Z3 U9 X6 l$ R4 n% M3 Y
$ z0 r6 e- \& o- j- h/ |) ?- y" ]
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成
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的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》* u) R: d. O: \, F) Z! d5 R
: q4 y$ c( |- c* ~- T0 G报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；
6 ^, y3 v3 i# @" c
) }' Y, `0 y! I9 I& A3 I10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为+ Q1 F6 N1 E6 t v1 {4 |
. h+ E5 d( ?9 J2 F7 ~" bETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。3 r+ j2 }% t1 H
' x1 a" e6 @4 B! z据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降& {) a' l' J9 l* ]# F" u
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息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。# ?; L8 a( G$ S4 }( ^5 V
2 I J0 f0 U7 U/ T+ o, ?- o
与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密& F9 @5 T; m. h/ E) b5 ?
: x6 a, g2 P2 ~/ ?* X* R
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富; \( h4 e) _1 P3 w: _. O
1 z: X9 S. j' ^4 M传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不; Y, j7 f+ J3 \5 I8 d! Z8 x0 e
2 i) ?) A' ?/ T. `& \/ i到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
6 H6 L, U6 Z& R! K, S4 s- f+ I+ a! ` I# [0 [
代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成" b% E' E( B; B' ~
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本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体
- a' D& F ^' Q# [& e4 r9 |" T
$ f7 [' ^+ V7 C0 Q1 s4 ^系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货
- O: `* ]9 d0 d5 N, }' A1 F- a& Y2 G- s8 x) D0 i3 v) F
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
: g; b& L: F) r/ v5 r. z2 S# h: S( K
未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
2 v1 \/ O& P5 M$ X- D% x
2 ?. [2 R' c+ j$ S/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
3 \2 K n: u r0 ~7 C( A# d6 O2 V* z; A: Q( }- {
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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