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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：" E3 A% U" w* p
至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。+ w8 }* M# G- ]$ V+ b
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在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
3 s! C C+ ]+ |/ @3 _
- o! B( u! Q2 z+ d T$ {机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案; b* E/ g' D* a# s' o
* V4 ?4 H- h3 g0 X出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到7 C0 |" d9 {) {- D; ^! ?+ v( D, |+ d
* J2 z/ F% t5 D: |
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
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) t+ I7 |- h. v2 {% b3 Z! a4 [' D据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
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达到200亿美金）- p p2 j; M% J' h! G$ }9 r
' c9 S8 t. s0 R0 D* p( ^2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
! h9 w/ n: I/ b; r( ~. S6 l" b. t, d& y$ Z+ K& @: X' o# |
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化+ v5 K p' l1 }6 b0 Z" a5 O+ m. x6 u' o
1 Q1 q0 n6 a3 p) Q8 v3 [
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。1 J; |# H& R& I4 j' }
' ?% A* @; @$ v" y% {3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大) @# x5 C9 ]9 u6 R$ y+ Y' v% `
+ o- J' b+ P; @1 X. Q资金的信任和青睐。2 n$ x% k$ q/ A7 d# y$ r
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
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金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入 R9 J! ]& b7 ]8 J3 q+ Y9 A ?
2 f: I2 ?& Q1 n. m7 u比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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