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9.林迪效应
5 n ]' g! H1 [1 i% g, q持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。
# e) R) }' ]1 ^ s u
7 F5 ~2 S3 h, l& K+ N, m) e& sDeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。" s9 `' t. u9 ]# p) b7 q
! x3 {2 g2 D8 i* H, x s
10.自我保护原则。" k+ ~" O5 W q. O% M! U- H
. A+ Y8 M' h6 ?( _% Z痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。
( l" f+ e/ i- t, R# Q% D, b
- v4 h- E5 u& i7 V- F当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。2 }* n. _ Q) P$ |% B) {
4 M+ U1 e0 G3 g10.抓住重点原则
: m1 Q/ ]! _. H& c重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
. }- V; H' K; X6 {: i* \* L, }: k1 T) |/ b' h9 a) x2 Q1 ?4 \
• 视频网站为内容而战。& A) a9 e1 ^8 g- @9 ?9 Q5 v
8 u8 n ~$ j% o& A! j2 ^• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。
9 l" P5 A0 B" d6 \6 p( I0 V% x6 j; [' i5 x7 X) z1 Y' S) d% ^) [6 ]
CRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？3 A1 j2 N+ c2 P- K* z" M
' a, [) n/ k0 H+ W6 R
11.二阶效果原则。7 {- y) V6 |# N! f f& q E
每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。
# M Z% C) L5 |( ] c/ [2 O/ X3 ?; J0 H$ o& \5 |- C, T1 E
多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。# ?6 Z. U3 i+ V/ V! B
6 D. e1 b6 s6 n; r7 Q% D但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。
8 ^7 F7 B" ?. X! l3 Q1 d9 X1 L, j" `3 g# E* K3 X' m# D8 g7 f7 R6 i; ^
警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。
0 K2 w9 [& B% C9 m
+ ^, q4 z x2 c1 _0 B12.冲浪原则
0 T$ E: C% Z% ^- Z+ B您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。 }* O) h; f- a/ D
# y& C$ O; [) D- K
及早识别和利用趋势：
4 J/ M& F8 n2 Z5 m* Y7 m* Y# U/ D6 _5 k$ z& {( N, H
• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。, j( |7 @: j, l$ H. d
3 U/ ]7 K9 H% _( d- M1 U• Netflix 转向流媒体。& f `' ~7 Y2 x
% y9 m; a' g9 S9 Y在加密货币中：" n+ [$ k9 w3 x; _) E9 R+ `
3 @& m+ a" ?7 h R' j9 y! s) h2 H• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）0 n! F" Q0 n! V- c/ z5 J* ^3 T
) c! M6 K9 Y Z/ _$ ?8 Z
• 投资（顺势而为）
7 k8 s" p# ^+ { T4 {7 z# t" l7 b, P) s0 G1 C+ t" S6 E
• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）. z5 [9 x! ~# C3 \
3 ]0 {4 C5 ~0 |- l6 [3 r13.先行者和后行者优势, o. X/ V; A( J, A/ l( Y
协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。/ ^! Q% x$ c5 Z+ D5 f! S
3 \8 M( s* l' U7 S$ E% T要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。 m$ @1 a( O( |
& w" e, H: R0 V o" F$ G而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。
5 j2 o: Z* s8 F4 z- ^; y# P5 n3 Q, Q- Q; I( ` A) \! H! X5 h
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a @% R( b1 b/ {" B& K" i# Q
长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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