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[体育菠菜心得方法] 活用亚盘结合欧赔窥视庄家造势心态
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博彩就是博人性,其根原就在基本面。基本面是指每一场对赛两队球队所包含的一切综合实力的展现。分析基本面估算出该场球的实际综合实力与心理实力的差值.而这个实力也就是通常我们所指的实盘。结合庄家为该场球所开出的盘口作较对(初盘分析)再结合中期调整,(中盘分析)最后,临场分析。初盘与即时盘的结合体,就是解开一场球盘的关键所在
' G& w% {! a7 q, b    “盘无常盘,水无常形。”
" {3 m- Y% M0 z4 `8 N! \8 p6 e    “博者无他,争先术耳,故专者能之。”
. b5 k" A; t: K: D    亚盘和欧赔结合分析法五步曲:9 t! y& u  t9 w* B
    1、赛事分析(赛事基本面分析,强调寻找“造热噱头”)' Y/ [+ l' ]  W7 E+ F7 U+ a% E9 v# T
    ♀重点推荐关注领域亚盘让球0.5 0.75 1,欧赔1.45~1.99区 一三三(冷0) 一三四(冷0)一三五(冷1)一三六(冷1)一四六(冷1)等赔率组合区。1 `# F9 p- n$ g. [7 M1 y
    ♀由于亚盘半球盘,半一盘,一球盘是风险区(赢球还可能输盘),在这个区间,亚盘更具有指导意义,而赔率只作为辅助研究;6 k+ I4 v% i) W* W+ i' f
    2、主流博彩公司初盘分析。
/ ~4 C8 d6 r- B: `. x    ♀重点研究盈禾(和SB相同),澳门、日博、立博、威廉,包括亚盘和赔率对比研究(欧亚转换)。英国赛事加上CORAL,德国赛事加上ODDSET,意大利赛事加上SNAI,西班牙赛事加上BWIN,亚洲赛事加上香港马会HKJC Football(天朝香港)
. a+ ]9 M8 T( e7 P& s8 z    3、主流博彩公司临场分析(赛前一个小时或半小时前)。
1 s6 F: x0 E. u/ \' C2 k. F, G
   ♀各家博彩公司意见是否统一,同家博彩公司欧亚转换是否统一,寻找差异。
7 J3 Z, Z! Z- W2 K- m    4、结合基本面综合分析,得出方向。0 @5 Y4 {4 J+ r* E/ x/ O
    A盘口开大,不变盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 B盘口开大,临场降盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 C盘口开大,早中期降盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 D盘口开大,不变盘,降水至低水,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 E盘口开大,临场升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 F盘口开大,早中期升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 G盘口开小,不变盘,上盘大热。 H盘口开小,早中期升盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 I盘口开小,不变盘。 G盘口开小,临场升盘。 K盘口合适,不变盘,哪方受热哪方有难。 L盘口合适,临场降盘,减小上盘打出赔付,赢球赢盘。 M盘口合适,升盘热上盘。 N盘口合适,早期降盘,调整后,初盘开大(转盘口开大)。 O盘口合适,早期升盘,调整后,初盘开小(转盘口开小)* G% c% k5 {# W  {; l1 ~
    5、时机的选择
; @1 R, T! {* R: u3 e4 X" [
    ♀盘口开大【如赔率支持半球盘,亚盘却开出半一盘】(如半一中高水波动盘),临场降半球低水盘(赛前半小时内,越临近,上盘进球越快),果断界入上盘;[庄家心态:降低上盘打出赔付]
: f; Q( k- I$ `3 y    ♀初盘中规中矩(半球盘或半一盘),要出上盘,升要早升,赛前才升,那是热升盘,往往是诱上盘;【庄家心态:早升是庄家对自己盘口的正常调整,晚升往往是在诱盘】
6 H3 a1 W/ k# i% B9 I# G    ♀盘口开大(如半一中高水波动盘),临场维持中高水,上盘大胜可期;【庄家心态:有某个原因(这个很重要,如杯赛首回合强队主场被逼平;下盘球队近期状态大勇;下盘球队排名更靠前等等)不支持主队,庄家也顺应民心,实则是看好之举】
/ n5 i: x9 k- m1 \$ u, u6 j3 l) |, \    ♀盘口开大,早降盘,只要临场上盘不热,庄家看好上盘,强队赢球反弹,。6 N4 M( b. }- D/ w/ r$ T
    ♀下盘一定在赛前下注(下一球下盘,比下半一下盘更明智),走地盘只关注上盘机会(重点在于把握时机,滚球盘的升盘是带有很强信号的(红卡因素除外)。);. c- m: L  y3 X. P
    ♀高开低走,易出冷平,低开高走易出冷零;
1 O& M2 [* ?1 S) n* E0 s' p3 J    ♀滚球,重点关注SB和盈禾,并结合澳门;滚球适宜在开赛60分钟之前界入,75 85分钟之后,尽量少赶;
) c) g  ?9 x( _* X" _    ♀滚球中,SB和盈禾通常采用高水赶盘,大多数公司均半球满水盘,它却敢于半一134超高水,甚至更高;半一坚挺时间越久,对主队越有利,如坚挺过了中场休息,并且下半场开球还敢半一盘,上盘基本有球;半一坚挺30分钟以上,主队胜面较大,特别是澳门也同时坚挺,胜算更大;
% q! s% g9 I2 n8 }5 E" \    ♀SB和盈禾有时采用低水阻盘,大多数公司均半球中低水,SB和盈禾开出平半超低水,往往上盘大比分胜出;
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2#
新人来学习下,谢谢楼主。
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3#
谢谢楼主的心得分享!
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谢谢 楼主的分享....
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