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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的- ^& ?" C" V, u
! C: k7 X" a" U9 }# |这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!1 ~! v. y \$ l5 t h4 x7 H
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
4 M) |3 _. m0 ]* r: t% e& c6 G他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
& m4 `* X4 _0 k3 V! S1 ?* u% H
: s& i) w$ A) Z7 Y* J* X 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。' a. H A$ z& m: M8 X2 U
+ e/ i8 z/ ], L3 i1 S2 ` 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
1 H. P! e: L/ s% v ' r7 N1 j- r8 R ~
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ) ]: F2 _2 m2 M, h* O; I
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
9 i b6 Y8 h: K( |! {( M" t7 E" ~/ d1 k- q
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，1 J- Y. n5 f, B
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
* G7 y, d1 ]$ Q7 D长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 / V3 d$ I# A; D! ~
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
8 @# E5 C( \+ Q: x心想赢定了。" A' f% H" C( \: f( w
- @: v% N- s3 S' J没想到开始不到半刻钟，. P$ Z T+ Y2 {2 r
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」 g ^9 o; W A. w8 _. e2 l
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，9 J3 H" R5 @- i9 _# E& d
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。" J2 d# f# {% w6 E
! o5 U4 t6 S3 Q3 Z1 q赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?* i; g2 W2 ]; s- x2 u* o) L
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 # ]# @' f# I6 e* x0 O5 t
上帝回答道：) E! T/ S+ h" [# t: Z5 | r
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
/ i7 n- R, Q8 [" W+ L8 E% j「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
; x+ {5 [( ~ z% Z0 f' K「而不是先发生在我身上。」" A$ G3 K) s" b9 Y
; R& l% V: d! e! \# [. C8 r
赌徒恍然大悟，
% l# ^7 b( q& @$ a6 Y; I原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，0 M( e& i: `# g
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！$ f0 z9 r5 h3 b3 Y* ^8 @* Z- F% z
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
6 f8 e. \$ ^+ h' u! N0 z上帝说完便不见踪影。 " N: ~0 q' k( e6 c/ f
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，4 f% E8 N) F' B, L1 M$ b$ b! o
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
$ m3 N5 D4 i! S$ c4 P0 V- O; u1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，3 P% W! W# r$ u; I! j5 j7 c j
对赌徒十分有利。( C+ v6 ^2 W' q' T( w; n2 m
4 g- i0 `; U. M* R5 G但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，$ I8 ^/ s, j( f7 b6 o" M% [
在还没掷到1000次之前，
1 \3 M8 P: g* i. g0 x2 S5 [仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。/ g% J0 C# _* U/ G0 K% G
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。, _6 \+ q F7 e: O2 ]( B6 w
' r" A/ z: |! F c# E; t- Y 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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