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世界杯火热,各类菠菜彩票也卖得火热,会不会像电影小说里那样,黑心庄家靠操控比赛来赚彩民的血汗钱?
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$ T. f/ P& G% n0 J7 I4 X9 n 菠菜公司大声喊冤:我们设定赔率可是巨资请专家团队来做的,准确率一般都超过60%。+ u; s I0 G& o
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0 m7 G% D6 ?. F; N) y还要运用巨型计算机和大量数学模型,根据各种因素计算出比赛结果,绝无操控一说。
x6 i& ?2 ]% D4 x" d. R; F 但实际上,菠菜公司赚钱根本不用那么费劲。例如某天意大利和英格兰对战,菠菜公司收到给意大利下注12万,给英格兰下注10万。如果意大利获胜,押对意大利的彩民除了拿回12万本金外,菠菜公司给予的奖金必须控制在10万元以内才不会赔钱,即赔率不能超过0.83,反过来对英格兰的赔率不能超过1.2。$ @$ O5 S9 a2 O% s
9 y* R! A( K+ ~/ b5 }; t! t6 l 而实际上菠菜公司为了保证盈利还会将赔率调的更低,一般设定意大利赔率为0.77,英格兰赔率为1.14。
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菠菜公司盈利的秘诀就在于要经常根据投注额的变化调整赔率,过去这有点难度,但现在通过网络随时掌握各种投注数据,修正赔率就成了轻而易举的事情。
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对万众瞩目的重点赛事,操控比赛结果风险远大于收益。但在一些非重点赛事上,假球司空常见,赌球集团的势力更是大的惊人。
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# v& V9 Q- K, S! x) P$ o2 M 例如2008年欧洲赌球案就涉及9个国家200场足球比赛,而背后黑手就是亚洲赌球集团。
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2009年克罗地亚杯决赛首回合被bao光遭到操控,亚洲庄家牟利1400万欧元。% a& S) u' {7 f+ h
+ z$ B8 ?6 a1 B! M' z& A 由于亚洲赌球公司技术太高明,不少欧洲菠菜公司现在都对亚洲盘口高度关注,甚至要跟着调整自己的赔率呢。
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