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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。: ~- V( }6 E, m0 H
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。% U. T0 x9 E) |6 b- }+ r
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。5 b( L1 I+ r9 q* [5 E' x
3 c7 T: |' V6 @8 s& r# U* R尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
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. Q% Z; [ D& @" W" d& e长期持有者没有抛售迹象
6 A! a9 }" P% w. v" k9 r比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。/ X# N* {8 n0 n4 O
7 J V% D( x4 Y1 T) T1 {值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。! K9 v3 P4 s9 y
: A; y6 b4 K# W- w截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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& _$ O* C8 U: C6 C2 z* f* |8 V这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。2 R4 y) B; H- W8 _: t
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。5 a: I4 f0 [; m. P/ b+ l
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AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。4 a+ W) b6 I8 ~, q: U( N% h# ]. W
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降4 ]! w7 i S7 R4 Z
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。; S5 d8 s$ }8 Z& o5 H- O0 b
! W4 E! M7 r1 u V' d' I6 P" z7 y过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。- u: j4 i1 A7 B2 ?
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此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
4 B% N: i- N, d. V0 A! U
, ^* M& f& m4 a4 k- ]问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。: x" e# Y; o. U$ y& C# P
! ~: }. @) c# t, {$ h6 _9 T, t加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？% e: Z- e# y* t/ e+ M/ x. n; M
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
7 `+ y1 u6 s9 P2 [9 ]4 S" }0 ~* _' s7 F2 d, [( y% Q1 r
当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。 \. `5 Q' z, U+ O) ^8 t' {+ y
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
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当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。
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