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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：2 e: c1 G8 c" S' N5 _. j
至少有以下几个原因：
% d9 `0 D( o8 P) \" i% t& V5 r( ?: _4 N
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。# o3 s9 O4 n; {8 v0 @% G
* l* ` K* ]' G7 J* t \在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
+ a+ V% y) j9 ?+ d- T6 V. h% Q y2 n& p' B; G. c" K. {% {
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
, Y O* L G5 Q! l
, r* Q- @ R1 f/ u出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到7 a y, l+ t3 m0 p$ K0 e
& Q8 D. x. t, j3 q) w6 w8 k
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数( C% h7 Z4 i. x1 {6 P+ ^: W
2 ]( E7 D" L5 F/ t4 Z据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有" y" j; Z1 v) C+ c
, }, Q4 h% H8 {/ g% t$ ]达到200亿美金）+ [. K5 }9 }$ J. T+ V' Z0 C
1 {4 a: u6 c b7 @2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊( v. {: Q' g2 U; A
/ H. q0 c2 E! t更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
8 y' ]8 w& b. q. r5 @) b
5 t, @! q- R3 o的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。1 J$ k% }! z: s6 |* B6 @
! n9 X9 K8 F8 U. L
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
' _9 o- [* d$ U: L$ I3 W4 b- H) y, o7 n8 P, ]
资金的信任和青睐。; H7 D0 v {6 B) B, A
- l2 {1 |' p! m. l' Z0 D0 N8 b
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美- t' n/ X1 j! n9 e) ^3 ^
% n8 U# s4 ^0 Y& ~9 n
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入( _! B$ I6 ?* r
4 h, F$ a, V& J- x6 m* s5 K- a. T比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。& G$ }" ]% Y4 I% j3 w0 `9 Z
! o/ S. v! X) ]( }% { |
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