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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上:长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗?(转)
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长期持有者依然坚定持有,比特币仍处于积累阶段。
; f% s6 l) S K现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。8 W6 h& y! V8 I
在过去的24小时内,比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%,截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。6 V Y, o$ a: f3 C5 K- |
6 h, b# ~ O% @$ t( [% f, r尽管市场普遍动荡,但比特币价格依然保持坚挺,这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
" {2 K- p2 M+ c' i; F. h- w; w$ i$ r% p$ b5 v; @; g/ S0 @( f
长期持有者没有抛售迹象
: p' ?2 H) M5 b. C2 ^2 ]& W比特币的 RHODL 比率(将长期持有者(6 个月至 2 年)与短期持有者(1 天至 3 个月)进行比较)显示后者仍在持有。( d0 T1 D1 [$ U) J+ t- I
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值得注意的是,RHODL 比率目前低于 2,低于 2024 年的高点,表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。* ?% i5 h0 X5 l" X
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截至发稿时,重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。- @ o- C& Z, Z6 U0 w
! E. f1 j& H/ q5 T' p这一指标很重要,因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。3 s# x- Y8 f; M5 u" E* U
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从历史上看,当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时,它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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. B3 U4 R$ Y V$ vAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降# L @7 @2 i1 o' Q, Q
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。% X9 c6 s Y1 _* q
$ t' @/ g7 C( Q0 r; l7 P过去24小时内,现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而,这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
+ Q9 F4 c/ m* Z% `3 h1 E4 m6 d; o$ N8 `; D; D. S" j* k
与此同时,传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元,创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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2 o3 g: u1 N% S4 Z此项活动证实,投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平,根据 Puell Multiple,这仍被视为折扣。3 x7 F$ ^$ x% R% n+ h3 K& {) V" I" X
/ z+ {" b/ F) |' ]' |3 |- T* S问题依然存在:所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗?AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘,发现了更多见解。
2 ? b1 f* n; k1 \5 R; ~' g
( l* {* v9 J( O( Z3 [加密基金进入市场:供应紧缩?
7 u+ E' o1 t0 L1 b; p% ~# h截至发稿时,基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
* z) e5 Z8 k& S: m2 C) C6 B/ n. b+ e( Q2 b0 l0 ?6 |( R
当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时(目前为 0.1),就会发生买入。6 I { m$ R% a/ ?' L2 u' x. z" E L
6 E( [5 ]9 z0 j
该指标的持续上升表明,比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势,尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。0 q8 H+ q l% a- `2 r
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当需求超过供应时,就会出现供应紧缩,从而推高资产价格。
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