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[lastpost] => 2813482 马斯克家族代币MUSKIt能否复制狗狗币神话？《财富》深度预测6000倍增长空间（转） 1773153505 小钱儿
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人
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# z: G! S, |0 X; p9 i2 w7 K9 v认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
! n3 q3 c7 {8 C% V
' [/ U- p' [6 r9 I' A. o" R而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富2 K3 P$ w. ]: ?! ~
$ A3 n9 Z9 f) ~8 A1 g+ k. _$ Z的千禧一代。
F, D# E4 _9 k [+ U" A从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
! w7 y% }+ k% M1 n( h
! W* k5 |" Z! A; ^- V, c" c8 M# V/ [的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“
6 T) p; ]1 {4 v/ }! }4 h1 a( x7 ~- q' ^. k
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加! P8 z0 `; Y B6 _2 O. I$ Y
+ d8 L+ @/ N4 |( C+ u9 z0 e4 i, d密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据6 p! j! E, g. f3 B2 u5 ^, f! D0 U6 o
: Z3 j3 c8 q* ^& n- S7 R9 g4 e; }
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成
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的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》* y% O. L7 k( L
3 O" s/ D: v# P& ] X
报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；" s9 J5 H Z" A1 G# O. r- w# s
/ g. q! B& B! E, ^& B+ q: Q
10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为& J* d; r4 \, A& h7 s
0 I4 C# j7 i2 b7 A# z4 hETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。& j( z, Q* P g+ R8 z
4 x. c# `0 ?; K/ u7 ]) p据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降) |7 n2 k/ ?9 G5 j) B: G
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息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。9 ?6 @2 L' s' ^/ o
+ I0 |4 x/ A/ f+ N2 e与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密
+ P, d, F4 F' Q) ]/ L3 ]0 Z" |; ` C: ]# v0 A
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富
+ z/ @$ i+ I* o, X% P N* [1 `; Y% q# J
传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不0 N( Y. e" W7 A K% D& B
9 z5 L' k2 c# W' m# S到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
% T) n+ F: u+ u; O1 H; k4 v0 [; p4 O- s+ H' F$ _
代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成
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本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体2 ^, }$ Z( T% _9 W0 y6 U& Z3 L7 N
% s4 ]0 W0 Z4 r8 }+ I6 p, }
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货/ {( L4 G1 X( o# N+ @% k. {
9 [8 D# x" ?9 ^, P* S6 p* C, j币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
. K. T O) [( {+ m1 _( Z/ k9 x- y, G9 g
未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
& j8 ?# z! f% b9 }! O1 `
8 E" J7 M9 r8 _/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
. `4 S# ~" f3 F+ {
" K! ~* t+ f5 p) A$ T( N) T" ?1 Y6 D) e! u: c. ^- q; }# o! A
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