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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的
4 A" w9 M6 h8 t7 r: U9 ~6 M4 }
; x' _7 i1 t8 h+ K s; `6 F) s2 l这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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- s) O) e- U$ A3 ~
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...8 m3 z' H2 ]: F+ W2 k: a
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。" V2 }- H0 |7 Q1 e# x" z5 l% \
6 g- A6 B% B8 A ]$ j7 i) w 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
. z* M, l( X3 v, @+ t6 h6 S+ ?4 J$ J. X7 l4 b. m$ Z
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」. t, V: f% ~; _% J, @
" l5 `, j' Q+ D「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 8 R: x* @% o; b( p t
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」! c- O+ p: R6 M# p- y4 F
- t& w0 W; [9 T; v/ ` x 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
( I3 x |! W: s! c/ y: K. C
( ^+ }9 z9 t3 H8 R接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
# b1 `3 A: M7 Z) g2 ~因此铜板较容易出现正面。
/ ~$ |' O% u) x* d: `长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
0 X# t/ ]: A" A" k+ B- o1 b. }4 ~- d因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
9 \ [! c( o$ D心想赢定了。
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5 f2 E) y$ [* v* K! W0 k" \* z- e没想到开始不到半刻钟，
( `) [ P/ F1 H8 Z) L2 U: ?赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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2 J& r5 q1 h2 V) @赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，: g9 G2 v% d0 S6 L
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
6 @0 f* b2 P0 S2 X0 I$ ~ $ C( ^' l7 [4 S3 r# _
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?- l7 N1 i3 r1 `! U# S- ~
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
4 u3 ]' ~* R# E9 t3 ^ B0 c
上帝回答道：5 M# v6 c! `; j% b
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」. ~. @# x+ }! @' V
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
" t9 q/ v, s# f. D3 o7 t+ h, e「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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+ J) e! l+ f% H5 x, A- ? 赌徒恍然大悟，/ j1 L; R' \* W
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，0 p5 e; t2 U3 Y+ w U2 O
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
' a8 v+ h W" p; H9 A6 z「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」9 R- @' u8 ?" n& r9 S1 f' J5 x- O
上帝说完便不见踪影。
5 v: L- L8 B- u+ Z
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，4 v/ R7 h: o' @7 o) b# e4 b
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
& |: K t7 l/ L( t5 J4 y9 r1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，- J* c/ n- |; X$ [$ |
对赌徒十分有利。# x5 S9 k! U; y/ F
7 o- N$ l5 }7 a6 a: ]( r& ~4 ~% d但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，$ e% Q& @8 Z8 m5 \* e- { z' ~' l
在还没掷到1000次之前，6 U- [. B6 V* m; O9 S
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
1 Q0 S1 e G, B1 ]& n3 l4 V7 r) H, Y1 }3 h3 m- S# R
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。* f, b5 X* }9 |+ q0 B: b; O3 w
5 [- l1 m( }0 [" [% R 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
" f9 g: L. a3 R% z. h0 ?8 [+ e7 [
4 |( L% |# H3 B! ? }1 ~8 J3 M 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板， S2 K' F. r1 `0 N5 H, e
" Q* c" ]# b6 \+ W$ p' u' w8 I6 K) V 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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