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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ! ]5 ]8 F$ L) X# {% |8 W! a
& q' S5 ?/ e; E其实原文标题不是这样的
2 d& t7 m% x7 e: ], C" v/ H: ~
# @1 E4 B" |0 I0 B3 P1 t这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!5 `8 M! S6 K! ~1 w1 ^' j
& P3 D' \7 f, ?1 B" D7 h/ \- t; E
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
' P' g' s/ G3 L! P他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
* u* A H5 R' U8 S4 }/ Y. S; Z- P- {/ w2 h1 z6 a/ O1 \$ P* Y n! q1 ^
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。$ h+ u9 Q: w; R$ P* Q
5 r4 Q4 U4 G3 I2 B 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
/ t. _. e: @3 o1 c0 b& }
6 x+ H: J% ?3 a- D5 ^2 V5 F0 \. _4 C「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
$ h5 w& ]# M5 F0 W' s* q' I6 I「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
0 Y( ]4 ~& Z- x! ~$ } e
6 _9 V' t2 H+ z. X6 Y 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。+ h" W" a Y. d9 m# a
" c5 Z4 n# c: ~3 m. B8 A J. I9 G
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，& o! l( y- Q; B) a
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
$ z$ r9 K, c/ h, h6 p长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
+ [5 _- y+ w( @) v因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
/ O1 I. f$ b7 ~" {! f' M. y心想赢定了。& @; ^) k) b; I
7 h: X( a* P0 e8 b& w2 n没想到开始不到半刻钟，
4 O# l+ q- z' s9 y; f, `赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」; J- M; q' s8 M9 a$ V
- g7 m" F! b9 |
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
6 b; P+ r9 h$ V$ J& C但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。, C1 W& `- i2 | Q" `$ }
# l: `/ k8 m8 q5 U3 t# t赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
* A7 S6 ~% g) d* i他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
( d; z2 _! T& ?8 y
上帝回答道：* ~) c1 R( M6 C7 ~7 }
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」! p: y# b8 {0 h
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
" B; Z8 A$ W% I. M「而不是先发生在我身上。」
7 ?* p/ L7 V; H5 R, L( q
. {& @# N. o8 S9 P 赌徒恍然大悟，& Q \6 N8 V+ o5 u' V, t
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
0 K2 P, s) t/ n) i竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！! K# `4 K9 @* {, }
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」8 l, [7 y( J' I2 L
上帝说完便不见踪影。 2 b' a2 |4 x: p: }0 d
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，3 m$ I6 S4 I1 z& B' d4 F8 q
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，2 Q& c- r; D$ \1 p8 G. B3 Z. u( v! i
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
, L$ u V" e+ [对赌徒十分有利。
: u# G1 {9 D- ^% V
V- m0 U+ y' j0 _- z: u3 v但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，4 [' d6 }5 t- w; I3 F* V! W
在还没掷到1000次之前，
: t4 ?3 B9 U3 P. y% ~仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
) d. N2 G8 t! Y6 U0 q! c
+ T' `, j" k8 l8 \; l; D3 _3 M8 H" z6 O* P 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。- Q3 G1 Z9 p- u4 N m
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。* F! c: z- n2 s8 o3 q
! [% E$ _; @- ]8 z 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，( ~) v/ T1 |: U0 p5 T3 o
, Q9 H C4 ]1 @. k7 d: f 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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