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[lastpost] => 2779923 大家好 bet365最新网址多少 谢谢 1764720765 天策-菱玖
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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ! o0 ]1 s! L+ H3 t9 C s
1 H! g. E- t* M6 y+ `3 w其实原文标题不是这样的1 R, }9 Y! U/ o K
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!4 m2 `: m: ]2 `0 H8 t# Y
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝.../ c' W s( {' C
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
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/ N( f1 z& m7 E5 | 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
3 q& V/ p* {8 [5 Q ~- M4 Z) X5 E. A+ g- x) e9 f' U7 ^
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ; B$ w; S) l1 v5 [+ {: G0 m
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」( j. M: n, s/ E; M
* T* c6 e3 [+ |
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。. k% r- x; y! ] g% x7 Q
$ |2 n, q" w1 i9 N& V$ V' ?- e( }7 H
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
6 t# J1 R' U9 J+ y* C! M因此铜板较容易出现正面。" K) N8 S8 v( y: P+ x. n
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
- W8 D! S9 f" |% y) W5 h* F因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
% c: J# }0 U; e% I- o4 {$ J心想赢定了。% Q. r+ o0 p% E. H2 R2 n
& \2 m% G e- P7 u6 z, R" H8 c没想到开始不到半刻钟，5 S% i3 h1 J, p
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
+ G1 i- h& g0 M1 u
9 W' h/ Q/ D( X. r; }6 O5 `赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
# k; {* [# R( ~ d但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
* M" b7 ]* G* K6 b" O+ E& M ( }, y+ @# l6 m' o8 V# _1 E
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?4 u% C6 y: d. K/ P! B, |3 d
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 9 \% j* S* i! |- r' b
上帝回答道：% l" ]2 s" T% w7 ^% D$ E8 y6 U. _3 S
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」* w& B0 y7 ?% n2 x9 v
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」- O% j+ C7 U# R5 Z( o0 p G
「而不是先发生在我身上。」8 @# N' d+ N6 B: q \ k3 N! y. c
2 d6 H8 g0 T u) x& S4 B 赌徒恍然大悟，
7 E, ^7 D' {5 h! ?- U2 k) o; w0 N原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，/ u/ F: u9 c3 o, q; p
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！5 ?$ J/ F5 V6 O$ x8 P
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」6 f0 z, l/ d. I$ Y' C
上帝说完便不见踪影。 " s, z0 h9 |4 ?& R3 \! Q0 e
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，, F. I- {2 x' r1 M0 V) i
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
1 q1 Z; g3 ]( s3 W) U" I1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
2 E" s, c! ~! d. A对赌徒十分有利。5 K, a% a) }3 p: u
' H; @0 X$ ~, t3 W9 u ?9 j! F! D但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
, v2 Q6 j& L# l. f3 {# w" W在还没掷到1000次之前，
. ~, w& o3 j% i9 z. D @仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。" E2 b/ K* L! F
9 W( Y0 C7 g# U% m5 H 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
/ o; V2 t2 t7 G9 y8 E1 ^) Y) I3 s
) t Q) z. e2 P 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，! M3 A9 {. D) ~8 ?. b; k" w
7 E: T6 x, T. z+ h/ k 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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