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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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% z$ u0 z& _* g, l0 C这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!8 T; ]* \" I0 J4 }3 i; E
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
1 M" ]" n7 ?' p J他希望能和上帝来场赌局。" s& F/ D/ _$ k0 f5 M* I' g/ S; Q
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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1 \. h# l& k h- a 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」- [/ \) |7 N0 f$ v' B) |
L5 t6 U7 j0 B, l% M+ J「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
) I- | ]' k4 O, t「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。7 V+ X4 p7 ^$ z
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，( d! S4 R' P6 a3 ^) b1 n" z0 i9 A$ v
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
( g, N" g, [' G, G长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
; G }- a# L3 l! P+ R/ _因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
2 X7 ^$ G; i7 L0 S p心想赢定了。. _$ ~3 M, l- G
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
( f8 ?: @8 {2 \赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，( c5 x# Z; C- N8 |
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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4 ]( E" e. [; P7 O赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?9 y, ]2 k$ C2 n/ `
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 " N- c' W) b. `) y) h7 \
上帝回答道：
$ d# k( q# ^5 t4 c1 X「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
; q4 D% G2 J% J9 s; ^4 ]; R; S「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」/ e8 ?! X1 k6 f" }. N/ O+ ?
「而不是先发生在我身上。」6 e; W+ o, J- y! l- p7 J( l8 @) w
$ Q' J3 i* a9 O/ J) @ 赌徒恍然大悟，
4 u3 c6 d+ U; h$ c; K原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，6 ^3 _/ V+ S, S! c
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！/ t5 B; M; G# ?" y9 W* j
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」! u8 T4 f) ?6 J
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，* z) k; o/ I8 l, g
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
! h6 I- B- b0 I9 ]' ~1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，. D1 I- G' s9 g/ X( Z
对赌徒十分有利。$ F5 P [9 g% X2 p( j8 J4 W2 `
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，: G) e, @( w' r* O: `; A6 d
在还没掷到1000次之前，8 Q# }( Q/ q8 C& @) K$ L& Q% f1 }
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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3 b0 e. a% @# k$ S: \5 { 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。: A* v; f+ _; h# O# _
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。7 y0 v/ w8 Z4 ?: T% j
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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% _5 {. B. i, \% ?) d 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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