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[lastpost] => 2802847 新帖子好少，之前账号能找回来不？ 1770224642 luckyangchun
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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
3 ]) y7 C z: K$ K* N3 X/ ?+ R. p( V# w7 q% ^
其实原文标题不是这样的, x) I0 v! Q1 l/ e, ?$ ~) i9 O
, E; w+ T( v" j8 u3 T这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
. z' B# m: i) d% I# I4 r4 }
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
2 Z" |0 ~9 i% {. ?+ `: x他希望能和上帝来场赌局。) X6 X1 m: v; q v6 G
; p& W; ~8 r% J$ Q9 a0 X 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。 q4 u2 q5 \7 d; p |/ O% A
! y* b+ t6 m& K( l4 C/ f) {; t 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」% M |, d1 I6 [: l& K# S/ W/ i2 s
- {+ w' Y0 H+ I1 T1 B( @2 H「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 8 J5 W8 |3 h. V7 b
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」! V, I( z9 \- X
' y/ |$ Z' q: `* }% H) y0 f& v 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。- ^1 q, j" {% g8 G5 n
* S2 J* y3 G+ \+ ^* D接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
/ \2 v8 c0 z# R' b因此铜板较容易出现正面。
! E4 _, G. q! A' m6 u8 Z9 t$ P9 m7 U5 S长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
, v7 g9 [; E. E) C, C+ W因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。4 _, s, v7 |1 O7 C4 Y8 Y
心想赢定了。4 z% F3 A* Q$ z5 W$ y
" k0 J! Q" B2 E1 @; x! I; Y* d没想到开始不到半刻钟，/ B3 M- F8 ~; I5 k2 [
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
+ E7 C7 _8 S! w: r2 N. m但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。 c# |9 o+ {' g- l$ e* t1 ~
1 e" g2 v4 v+ C
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
. Q9 L! M4 f5 g& @6 \, p9 [& S他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：3 j# K/ K" y. p, z
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」8 q3 ]7 @9 e" n1 @2 C
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
% A8 P* I9 O' M6 N* o# t2 N「而不是先发生在我身上。」8 O) W: ]3 z* n
8 k- o; f9 [. [7 l. O6 g6 q0 ^ Y 赌徒恍然大悟，4 S0 F- p2 ?5 z
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，. N- u; r! ~0 A$ H2 R: Z1 H
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
3 M. w& e/ ^) Y% b「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
9 u4 ^" u/ g; \% K1 \上帝说完便不见踪影。 7 \2 w+ v- R8 ]3 F* b3 @6 s
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
. m. T7 ?0 D2 w2 p1 }+ X若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
' M9 v7 x3 W! e7 I% x1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，7 Y! M% E" I! q
对赌徒十分有利。* w9 ~/ `/ j, k% C5 r. s
) _7 x1 o9 y% O. C但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
' {; a+ _6 K9 P. q/ n* d6 U9 H3 P在还没掷到1000次之前，2 f2 s* l K2 S8 h
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。 [, G' V" T7 O, E9 P! R. ?3 i6 B4 G
: n# C) ~0 F; E( b( D9 ^, w5 @1 G 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
. n& k$ x5 a- U. W- F9 S8 Z4 J: u6 u! G- t* F5 X2 X, `( q+ X: Y% I8 M" `1 Q
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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5 x$ L5 T. y/ q2 n: c/ A 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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