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冷风说币：交投寡淡 近期难有大行情 切勿盲目追多 2022.07.07
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市场消息
今日凌晨美股收盘，三大股指小幅收高。道指涨69.86点，涨幅为0.23%；纳指涨39.61点，涨幅为0.35%；标普500指数涨13.69点，涨幅为0.36%。
美联储周三公布的6月货币政策会议纪要内容显示，美联储7月很可能再次加息75个基点，以遏制40年来最大的通胀压力。即便美国经济已处于衰退边缘，但美联储考虑的重中之重，仍然是对抗通胀。
无论怎么样，市场的炒作首先是对预期的炒作。美联储加息75个基点，符合市场预期，因此美股市场连续走出了四根小阳线。
受美股市场影响，加密货币行情也表现出较好的上涨势头：昨日比特币价格最高至20747美元，创下5天以来的最高价格，日涨幅为3.42%。以太坊也创下一周以来最高，至1175美元高点，日涨幅为3.78%，其他山寨币普遍看涨。
可以说金融始终是要为经济增长服务的，受经济规律的制约。近几日美股市场、加密市场小幅度的反弹，并不能掩盖全球经济有进一步衰退的事实。根据彭博经济的最新预测，美国明年陷入衰退的可能性目前为38%。
有迹象表明，金融市场一直在为美国经济衰退作准备，现在美股市场、比特币等风险资产价格暴跌，实际上可能就是在接受经济衰退这个事实。认清规律，接受现实，不与趋势作对，这是每个投资者必须具备的基本技能！
行情分析
BTC短线支撑 19800-20200美元，压力20800-21200美元。美股全线小幅收涨，对大饼的反弹有利。对于大饼的走势，冷风还是维持原来的观点，七月份反弹，短线震荡反弹，站稳20200美元，会向22000美元压力位再次进攻。操作上建议大家以低多为主，高空为辅。
比特币昨天墨迹的走了一天，也没涨出新高，在在小区间震荡上行，虽然弱，但是上涨趋势还保持着。我们还是要继续看震荡上行。
现在市场众多大V是看多的看空的都有，看空的说等待做空，看多的说等待突破，冷风倒是认为行情不定的情况下不要看太高，比特币现在还保留上涨可能的情况下，在关键压力22000附近就要减仓或者止盈，等突破再做就行了。做空也是等到关键压力跌了再做不迟。冷风的战法是转头吃鱼身，去掉鱼头鱼尾，多空都是如此。今日操作建议还是回调做多为主。
ETH短线支撑1100-1140美元，短线压力1200-1250美元。冷风一直指出以太反弹的力度会比大饼强，以太坊今早是上涨突破前高1170附近的压力，上涨到周线5日线压力1200附近，现在回调中，冷风认为我们需要关注回踩点位1170附近是否能有效支撑，看本次突破是否是有效突破，如果支撑成功，后续可能会上攻日线30均线压力1220和前高1280附近。非有效突破就要继续看1080-1170的震荡。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。重点关注一下UNi,LINK,SUSHI的走势。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。目前市场会进入一段可操作的回血期，大家要抓住机会。山寨币表现出普涨格局，个人认为此时应该多一点耐心，逢低买入耐心持有一波为主。
公链生态AVAX,atom,near
DEFI:sushi,aave,
web3.0:ENS,BAT
元宇宙：sand，ygg，mana 来源：金色财经 |
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