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[体育菠菜心得方法] 降水造热型盘路
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此类盘路是通过制造降低上盘赔付的假象,增强上盘信心,吸引玩家注入上盘。其盘路具体表现为两种模式:其一,本不具备绝对优势的上盘球队,或者是下盘球队较为强劲情况下,上盘无端降水,表现出对上盘看好,吸引更多资金投向上盘;其二,实际盘口小于理论盘型,开小的盘口呈现为降水格局,便宜盘下再做出降低赔付的假象诱上。对这类盘路,应从球队的近期表现和两队历史交锋战绩着眼,分析其是否具备低水让球的强势资格,或者判定实际盘口与理论盘型是否吻合。

勒芒 0-1 欧塞尔

时间:2009117

初盘:0.90平手0.94

终盘:0.60平手1.24

勒芒客战连续失利,此番回到主场抢分战意浓烈。虽然勒芒在交锋历史上
2 Z& }/ F4 b  g# |2 E不占优势,但是其主场表现和此轮战意多少对主胜给予一定支持。主队胜率:37%,理论盘型支持平手低水,实际盘为平手中低水。主队实际水位显然高于预判水位,参考双方积分和排名,客队让球都不为过。如果平手中水维持到封盘,那么客队受热可能就会很大,因此主队至少可保不败。但是,临场阶段上盘急剧跳水,水位骤然跌至0.60的超低水,完全超出了理论支持范畴。那么主队是否具备这个水位资格呢?观察双方近期状态发现,主队连续失利,而客队却取得五连胜状态神勇,08-09赛季的三次交手,主队也都败北。在这种现实对比下,勒芒完全不具备超低水的实力,显然是庄家担心下盘变热,而引导玩家博勒芒主场反弹,将资金向上盘平衡。最终下盘被阻,顺利打出。

克鲁塞罗 1-1 格雷米奥
2 s/ p: b4 j; S( i1 s  u) O(巴西甲)

时间:20091115

初盘:0.72半球1.10

终盘:0.68半球1.14

注:克鲁塞罗=高士路

格雷米奥=甘美奥

从两队交锋记录来看,高士路主场保持全胜优势,且联赛排名和积分也高于客队。近期状态方面,虽然主队上轮主场落败,但是其主客场状态也绝对好于客场三连败的甘美奥。本战主胜概率为53%,理论盘型支持半/一高水或半球超低水。实际初盘为半球超低水,虽然半球盘超低水也符合理论支持范畴,而且双方历史盘路主让半球也是主流,但是就近期双方各自形势来看,这种均衡其实已被打破。初盘半球盘上盘会很热,此时欧赔和平均主胜概率也都支持主队升到半/一盘。假如,庄家看好上盘打出,升盘后或多或少会有些资金受到阻止,但是临场阶并未升盘而是继续降水,显然庄家是不想对可能注入上盘的资金设置任何障碍。在浅盘下继续降水做出降低上盘赔付的假象,造热上盘。最终主队被逼平,上盘输盘。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
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