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[体育菠菜心得方法] 看球与看球盘
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1#
1、几点涵义
7 J0 o" n9 h% m' j(1)初盘:初盘通常用来观察受热方向,一般视初盘低水方为受热方。
) `' e2 w$ r* }$ K1 h1 n/ {# G  A: l(2)初赔:初赔通常也用来观察受热方向,一般通过欧亚对比的方式寻找受热方。盘口水位比赔率折合的水位更低的一方一般视为受热方。
* s' x% B1 m; ^0 q注:通过初盘、初赔的判断,若两者方向相同,则可直接确定受热方向。若两者方向不同,则通常取盘口的低水方为受热方。
# h* Q7 r& i/ Y$ W; {$ g(3)终盘:通过终盘与初盘的纵向比较,终赔与初赔的纵向比较,终盘与终赔的横向比较,决定上下盘取向。
+ f% O6 e# _& V& D+ _A、终盘与初盘的纵向比较,是用来分析受热是否成功,若受热方升盘、降水,即视为造热成功,一般出非受热一方。若受热方升水、降盘,即视为造热不成功,一般出受热一方。0 a1 a( s1 g- t/ c6 B
B、终盘与终赔的横向比较,是用来分析庄家是否降低赔付。若欧亚对比,即时盘口水位比赔率折合的水位低一个级,如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合的是中低水,b、盘口是中高水,赔率折合是高水,则视为庄家在降低赔付,一般出降低赔付一方。反之亦然。如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合是高水,b、盘口是半球中水,赔率折合是平/半中水,则视为该方向受热,大热必死,出其对应的另一方。反之亦然。7 _3 ]: Z0 D+ V+ r. x. f; I" t
(4)终赔:同理于上一条。; i, d$ `/ ^+ n; F" j1 k  j" B1 R
注意:若终盘与初盘的纵向比较,与终盘和终赔的横向比较的结果不一致,一般视后者为正确理解。
; W1 C  o! S, E0 S' l
5 h2 B% t; ^6 K! P) h+ T% p( _2、基本步骤
% P4 O* v! Y( q6 F' D' u7 ^(1)分析造热方向。
) ~4 Z% y! \7 a* s(2)确定造热是否成功。0 L5 J7 L8 ?2 c9 T
(3)得出相关上下盘结论。' k# |, o6 \! `4 `
例一:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热不成功型。6 s" w. @' ~9 Z
瑞典(主)VS捷克" o1 q, L5 {0 P" A) l$ i: _* `& b
初赔:2.30 3.10 2.75
% W4 a3 n+ C8 u) j初盘:0.80 平手 1.05 ( T' L; P. A5 E* c5 K# w1 L
终盘:1.05 平手/半球 0.80 + R/ |: W2 n+ ]8 R' h/ P
见解:初赔支持平手低水或平/半满水,实际初盘平手低水,造热方向在上盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半满水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,造热不成功,上盘大好。结果顺利打出(2:1)。
, C  {. @* V) v9 _( v( }例二:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热成功型。
* j+ N/ Y7 t2 V" f8 M比利时(主)VS希腊8 H! C. M2 F4 t' c# z" I$ Q
初赔:2.25 3.15 2.80& I' |6 U; m0 b
初盘:1.00 平手/半球 0.85
; r# q% j4 m4 j6 H5 o! V. [终盘:1.025 平手/半球 0.825
: E$ T& }3 V4 d- ]/ s  f! F2 O见解:初赔支持平/半高水,实际初盘平半高水或中高水,造热方向在下盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半高水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,下盘造热成功,上盘大好。结果上盘顺利打出(2:0)。
- A; i4 B) F+ u2 J+ P3 w8 @) O例三:最常见的。赔率、盘口都变。以变换后的赔率为基调进行研究。5 D" \0 J& N9 P1 L. Y5 l7 m
意大利VS爱尔兰(主)
8 H, s! V$ b5 w, K初赔:2.50 3.00 2.60 . g- L2 Y3 R. H; ?7 Y! \
终赔:2.40 3.00 2.70
0 F1 V' X" y' s3 O初盘:0.85 平手 1.00# D8 ]% s. [0 B
终盘:0.775 平手 1.075 3 s$ M4 l% ~# X
见解:初赔支持平手中水,实际盘平手低水,造上盘。临场时赔率支持平手中低水,实际盘平手超低水。这里请注意,如果从初盘与终盘的对比来看上盘造热成功,该出下盘。但请注意两点,一是变了赔后,支持中低水,实际盘是超低水,水位恰好低一级,正是出上盘的表现。二是本身给出超低水,也很明显在降低赔付。因此上盘顺利打出,比分2:1。
7 L: |* U1 F* ^1 Z% t1 ~
1 D& H$ f; [9 V9 s3 i3、几点相关定义+ |' g- T, w6 K
(1)低水方:上盘和下盘中水位较低的一方,一般可理解为低水方为受热方,也可理解为低水方为降低赔付方。: p1 z, R* e# m: o7 K# V! T
(2)诱上、诱下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势更好的想法。一般低水称为诱。+ R/ P" z! t0 v0 Y/ l- c& j+ [* r
(3)阻上、阻下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势不好的想法。一般高水称为阻。) t- o; S0 n% y( u4 F
注意:中水既在诱又不阻。非常危险。
, E4 f: H! K* S; X(4)换位思考:每个盘口都有上盘和下盘,因人而异会有很多不同的想法。当你产生某一种想法时,一定要设想与你对立面的人的想法,并否定他。如果能否定,请肯定你的想法,如果不能否定,请对你的想法持怀疑态度,当然,不是叫你肯定别人的想法。
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2#
看看楼主的心得和方法
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3#
感谢分享心法啊,增加认识了
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4#
学习了 楼主 谢谢
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