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[体育菠菜心得方法] 波胆赔率差实战运用
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波胆赔率的解读与胜平负赔率解读有很多方式都可以相互通用,除了比较法,排序法等常规方法外,减差法是一个使波胆赔率简单化的有效解读法。由于波胆赔率的表述方式比胜平负赔率要複杂很多,因而减差法就不失为一个较为有效的波胆赔率解读法。. r! y& x5 P& o9 U, A- y
  在波胆赔率中,1:0和0:1分别代表主胜和主负两个比分体系,其波胆赔率差体现着博彩公司对这场比赛的胜负倾向。用1:0主胜波胆赔率减去0:1客胜波胆赔率所得出的差,对判断一场比赛的胜负有很强的的指导意义。一般情况下,差值越大,表示主客两队的实力对比越悬殊,差距越小,表示主客两队实力对比接近。值得提醒的是博彩公司对主队的习惯性高看在波胆赔率中有很明显的体现。反映在波胆赔率差上就是两队积分差相等倾向客队,客胜场次多过主胜场次。  
6 b& R3 O0 W; }2 Q) r7 G2 O  波胆赔率差为正数客队不败首选客胜:我们以意甲、英超和德甲进行的几场赛事为例,意甲莱切VS罗马和德甲凯泽VS拜仁这两场比赛的1:0和0:1波胆赔率差为1(指澳盘波胆赔率,下同),结果莱切0:2负罗马,凯泽0:2负拜仁。在  4月初的一轮意、英、德赛事中,1:0波胆和0:1波胆赔率差为正数的还有3场,结果除意甲摩德纳与AC米兰打出1:1平的冷门外,其余两场均为客队胜。  ' Z# y/ ?4 P# x4 `
  波胆赔率差为负数-2、-3留意出平局:通常情况下,1:0和0:1波胆赔率差为负数都意味着主队胜,但当赔率差在-2至-3时要留意出平局,近几轮意、英、德赛事中的平局大多出在1:0波胆与0:1波胆赔率差为-2或-3的对阵中,这是一个值得追踪的现象。除此而外。波胆赔率在-2以上,主队很少出现输球的情况,大多数冷门均体现为冷平,而冷门0则集中在波胆赔率差为0—1.5之间的对阵场次中。
# ~9 {$ E% D- I& D: J" X  伟德国际的1:0主胜赔率与1:0客胜赔率同时均为1赔8,结果为两队打平,比分为1:1  
) o. E. F: V( [& Y" x" d, ?拉齐奥VSAC米兰  
/ F* ]0 R! @. M+ @- G* w  r8 n" T  澳盘波胆为主队拉齐奥1:0胜开出的赔率与客队AC米兰1:0胜开出的波胆赔率均为1赔7,SNAI开出主队1:0胜波胆赔率与客队1:0胜的赔率也同时为  1赔7.5,结果为客队AC米兰1:0小胜。, C9 m3 K$ y; b* u' `
帕尔玛VS罗马  
2 B; V) G8 ]$ i9 f9 H  威廉希尔为这场比赛的主队帕尔玛  1:0胜比分开出的赔率和为罗马客场1:0胜的赔率同为1赔8,结果这场比赛打成  1:4客队客场大胜。  . g0 e: F' c# V4 y+ `
  1:0和0:1波胆赔率出现一致时,客队胜率特别高,近几轮仅有的一次意外是佩鲁贾VS博洛尼亚,这场比赛伟德国际为威廉希尔的波胆赔率1:0和0:1两个比数均为1赔8,结果是主队佩鲁贾4:2获胜。此外,还有一场是拉齐奥VS罗马,威廉希尔、伟德国际和SNAI三家公司的波胆赔率均为主队1:0胜和客队1:0胜这两个比数开出了1赔8的赔率,这场比赛因场外因素没有正常进行,因而无从验证。  , [5 s5 e1 @7 \7 e2 w- c
  从已开出结果来的几场比赛来看1:  0主胜与1:0客胜这两个比分的波胆赔率出现一致时客队胜率高的心水有一定的参考价值。  
: q+ B0 Y: l, D8 M' v0 [8 P- L密切关注临场波胆异动:波胆赔率不仅要看初始赔率,临场波胆赔率的升降更值得研究,波胆赔率在临场时的升降对判断一场比赛的胜负和进球多少都有很大的帮助。2 u' E( z) ~: `6 A- Z/ x( {
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学习学习   e& D( X8 F5 [- k
谢楼主好文分享
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谢谢楼主的分享  又学道了
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谢谢楼主的分享~~~~~!
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
这个可以有啊,值得推广,谢谢楼主
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