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[lastpost] => 2811625 华尔街两大监管机构联手进场， 加密货币与预测市场“野蛮时代”即将终结？（转） 1772680905 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
Bitwise高管：人们正低估比特币 BTC将大幅上涨(转）
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据两位 Bitwise 高管称，在特朗普ZF威胁要改革全球贸易，而经济指标表明各国央行可能向市场注入现金之际，比特币是一个“世代机遇”。
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Bitwise Asset Management 的阿尔法策略主管 Jeff Park 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中表示：“世界确实处于最大混乱的边缘。”
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% i7 ]" E$ N2 y: y+ a, m* _# L; JPark 指出，2 月 12 日众议院共和党预算计划将债务上限提高 4 万亿美元，旨在增加ZF支出，同时还有去全球化趋势加剧，尤其是唐纳德·特朗普6 [6 e8 C+ P$ k. a
1 W* w- i9 s2 G: `3 V最近升级的互惠关税威胁。
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7 Q$ f' A, E1 H0 K1 IPark 还指出，市场将出现他所谓的“最大延迟”，指出“黄金跑赢大盘的尾部风险”，共和党高达 4.5 万亿美元的“史无前例的减税”，以及他认为即将实施- H4 }- q, p- m* a4 D
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的收益率曲线控制 (YCC)——央行将长期利率作为刺激借贷和投资的目标。
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- k& d+ G8 U+ u美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔对今年进一步降息的可能性泼了冷水——2 月 11 日，他告诉参议院银行委员会，美国经济“保持强劲”，美国“不需要急于调整”利率。% y2 j# g/ b0 d' c4 t( g" Y; \
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" U. c: A1 D2 k! XBitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中写道：“人们严重低估了比特币今年进入主流的巨大飞跃。从未如此乐观。”
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' j, s& h( V8 l# p5 X“BTC IV 百分位数是全年最低的，你看不到这一代机会，所以我们不一样了，”Park 补充道，他指的是比特币的隐含波动率百分位数——过去一年中波动率+ Q' ?9 [( G* E; g4 k/ k0 p
& z2 }9 \3 q$ z低于当前水平的天数百分比。" ~ x$ J& [. D3 X
; ^5 G& _% t0 M6 Y根据 Deribit 的数据，比特币的波动率指数目前为 50.90，低于年度高点 71.28，IV 百分位数为 12.3。
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据 CoinGecko 数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 1.5%，交易价格略高于 96,000 美元。2 g! O- D4 [3 z/ b0 X
: F0 k) V7 x+ H2 X" {. M) T) X今年到目前为止，比特币的交易价格在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间，但在上个月末特朗普就职典礼期间达到 108,786 美元的峰值。8 ]4 W2 r: \) M6 H/ ~1 D: ^! ~2 O4 y; Q! ?
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追踪加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数的市场情绪在 2 月 17 日为 51 分（总分为 100 分），表明市场处于“中性”状态。市场情绪较上周的“恐惧”水平有所改善，但低于% [% a4 R8 V. g" X6 `" y# X- u$ F i; J8 S
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上个月更为积极的市场情绪水平。
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