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[lastpost] => 2811617 为什么代币化可能使 Solana 成为《CLARITY 法案》的赢家（转） 1772729335 垂钓园
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XRP在盘整阶段交易后面临崩溃的风险，分析师预测可能跌至0.4319美元。各种市场指标的支持证据加强了对即将下跌的预测。; ]! E2 m6 H# M9 n: W
在日线图上，Ripple[XRP]的表现一直不佳，这一趋势似乎将继续下去。它已经经历了1.71%的下降，预计还会进一步下降。3 M& D- N- I7 N( o o( o8 D4 |8 Z
4 S$ O: h% }; o6 w' M7 oXRP合并可能导致崩溃
; [# @7 V" |& Y4 V, ^根据AMBCrypto的图表分析，XRP在一年多的时间里一直在规定的每日范围内进行整合，这一运动始于8月。
% |7 H$ r- a. W( o+ V( C, B- i% N& v. \, L& p+ N! r- A
巩固阶段通常代表积累期，价格在矩形的上下限之间波动，通常为重大崩溃或突破奠定基础。
1 T- Q# r8 q. E0 d% m% j
9 M8 i" r5 C. @6 _' Y截至本文撰写之时，XRP最近已从上限或阻力线反弹，并可能跌至通道底部，购买压力可能会推动其价格上涨，继续其振荡模式。
- X$ r: m8 F$ u8 d0 [2 r* m/ e, c% F; \0 b
然而，AMBCrypto报告称，抛售压力已经加剧，这表明下限或支撑线可能无法维持，这将导致资产价值进一步下跌。
. G" B R8 g3 L, ?& L, W7 b8 r* }
供应地销售压力增加
; n- `% f0 D5 SAMBCrypto使用Cryptoquant的数据进行的分析表明，XRP的交易所供应份额在过去24小时内显著增加，这表明其价格可能大幅下跌。
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这一增长表明代币在交易所的可用性更高，由于潜在卖家的涌入，其价格面临下行压力。5 Y" x7 P% b* q: n! ?! T
# w2 C9 o' e8 h; e8 V2 @2 D已经观察到供应量大幅增加，这通常是由于鲸鱼将大量XRP转移到交易所出售# K f! L' ]. Q. b0 m
7 F# T, E' ?, V- K. Q# P7 L最近，Lookonchain记录了一笔交易，一头鲸鱼在最近几个小时内移动了9500万XRP，相当于超过4900万美元，记录了更多的交易。' @1 _& u4 `' y4 v) w V
) |0 ~5 l3 [$ {4 V1 m; q9 N ~此外，据Cryptoquant称，自本月初以来，XRP的交易所流入量稳步上升，进一步增加了交易所的总供应量。6 _( U N. S7 \, q4 u
" ]; {5 A: [7 j! ]/ |9 Z
零售交易员的活动加剧了XRP的看跌走势
& t9 Z# z, y2 i# a+ l追踪未结算交易的Coinglass对未平仓合约（OI）的详细分析显示，未平仓合约大幅下降7.02%，至5.6397亿美元，这表明散户越来越活跃，可能会对XRP价格的下跌产生影响。$ c& [/ N% v1 M7 @1 C
0 l' p; L2 k" T0 w' ]这种看跌前景得到了抛物线SAR（止损和反转）指标的进一步支持。
n" [& `0 \/ M: Z# S; ?
6 j9 e: f9 i! ]* N U8 ], A抛物线SAR有助于识别潜在的价格反转和动量，由图表上价格条上方或下方的点标记。这些点的位置变化表明趋势发生了转变。
8 C/ v0 @$ @- i# J
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