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[体育菠菜心得方法] 分享]《足球财富》-第2部分 亚洲盘口-第3章 盘路分析法和欧亚分析
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第三节 案例分析' f0 j1 O' t% i
     例1:里昂 3-0 梅斯 (法联杯)( q4 e. k/ P' r5 ]2 H2 r
     初赔:1.40 3.70 7.00 支持一球0.80 实际初盘:0.80一球 1.058 H: J+ u7 Q( V) H
     中赔:1.44 3.75 6.25 支持一球0.875 实际中盘:0.82 一球 1.15
+ K" S! i4 c/ ?5 ]     终赔:1.46 3.75 7.70 支持一球0.925 实际终盘:0.75 一球 1.157 B/ ?9 W6 G: T
     分析:可能造热方为主队上盘。初盘水位与初赔吻合,上盘未出现同向受热。中盘水位略低于折合水位,下盘赔付较高。高峰期水位与中盘水位一致,缺少明显变化。临场降水为超低水,上盘赔付较于折合水位偏低。初设造热方未出现应有热度,而是一直降低赔付,最终的顺利打出。
" H( ~) e+ P; S; x  `     ( z1 Y( X; B9 h2 G5 U
     例2:尤文图斯3-0 拿波里
; M) _- J+ ?8 v9 ]     初赔:1.90 3.10 3.65 支持半球0.90 实际初盘:0.95 半球 0.902 A$ A, M- S; y+ a) _
     中赔:2.05 3.15 3.60 支持半球1.05 实际中盘:1.10 半球 0.80
' h, ^( }- ^  i+ y, J     终赔:1.95 3.15 4.00 支持半球0.95 实际终盘:1.00 半球 0.90
$ D/ G6 z& o8 R0 s. Q" V% X     分析:主队近况低迷,客队近期状态较好,排名差距不大,客队下盘存在被造热可能。初盘上盘水位高于折合水位,下盘被造热。中盘阶段上盘水位高于折合水位,下盘降水,下盘造热成功。终盘阶段上盘水位下调,略高于折合水位,下盘升水幅度较大盘口贴水较高,造热方赔付较高,最终上盘打出。
) ^2 O7 ?9 }: i0 T9 y$ A3 p8 N2 _     
( z9 A/ U# G  c: V( ?6 v; _7 T     例3:桑坦德0-0 艾科坎(国王杯), k; i$ ?' L% n" C6 ~
     初赔:1.50 3.60 5.30 支持一球1.00 实际初盘:1.00 一球 0.85
7 M3 x: j) f& m3 C2 ^     中赔:1.50 3.70 6.90 支持一球1.00 实际中盘:0.90 一球 1.00; Q# G. }% u: I  i( z
     终赔:1.55 3.50 6.50 支持一球1.10 实际终盘:1.13 一球 0.77! u9 H! K0 f* y4 d. @% {
     分析:可能造热方向为主队上盘,初赔阶段盘赔水位一致,上下盘都不
/ ~. O6 b3 {8 [) [- b( F7 n     热,但上盘贴水较高。中盘阶段上盘降水,存在造热上盘可能;临场阶段上盘升水为超高水,贴水较高,上盘不出。
! }  x1 H# }# C7 O: T     
. b, s9 `( R1 A) X) m     例4:奥沙辛拿1-0 海格拉斯(国王杯)5 B6 O8 n+ W6 r: W" X, b. V, Q; r1 K
     初赔:1.65 3.40 4.50 支持半一9.75 实际初盘:0.70半球1.15  c+ z$ g1 G& |+ \- l
     中赔:1.90 3.30 3.90 支持半球0.90 实际中盘:0.96 半球0.94
" w$ v. J9 W, [+ S5 `     终赔:2.05 3.30 3.40 支持半球1.05 实际终盘:1.10 半球 0.80
$ ^7 H. q& o3 [1 ]7 s+ `) i3 M     注:海格拉斯=靴格拉斯
+ I/ E: x& E% B' ?! M, w     分析:受热可能方为客队下盘,初盘上盘盘口低于折合盘口给超低水,上盘反成被造热方;中盘阶段上盘升水,上盘水位高于折合水位,上盘造热失败;终盘阶段上盘继续升水,下盘大热。最终上盘打出。
, Q, q3 m! v# L* L2 W3 Y     
  R+ S& ~: G3 t; g9 g8 q0 {4 S     例5、AEK雅典1-1泰利普里斯(希腊超)" T, h) [( J. F8 d4 k# L
     易胜初赔:1.90 3.00 3.65 支持半球中低水0 @8 K# H% t% L6 s- u* R
     实际初盘:0.65 平/半 1.20) W  u' f( H. H$ l
     易胜终赔:2.10 3.20 3.40 支持平/半低
8 E9 g0 m/ T* i, n# K     实际终盘:0.82 平/半 1.087 u3 f0 o9 b$ [1 g7 u
     注:泰利普里斯=卓普利斯
, N0 d4 P- ]% [2 p     分析:受热可能方向主队上盘,初赔盘口开小,给超低水,上盘受热。终赔支持平/半低水,上盘升水后盘赔比较一致,但是在造热方的赔付被提高,主队盘口较为便宜,下盘水位下调。最终上盘受热不出。; f: s, W' W7 r& F
     
2 R. _: G8 M9 t     例6:帕纳辛奈科斯2-1佩亚列高斯(希腊超)
3 \$ e$ Q+ X0 E' Q( A. t" N$ x     易胜初赔:1.15 6.00 10.00 支持两球半超低水
1 O: q9 \! t, Q  j+ l7 P  k     实际初盘:0.85 两球 1.006 K: S4 T  _  G* c) T
     易胜终赔:1.11 8.00 12.00 支持三球以上
5 {6 M/ |7 q# g8 W" n, o+ ?: h     实际终盘:0.75 两球 1.10& t1 u9 w+ L+ \- J, b* y
     注:帕纳辛奈科斯=彭拿典奈高斯
) _! |. P. ]: z( k' ~$ U     佩列亚高斯=派里高斯
$ K  B+ N/ P5 p     分析:受热可能上盘主队,初盘盘口开小,水位虽为较低方,但是高于正常折合水位,上盘为受热方。临场继续降水,上盘造热成功型。最终上盘赢球输盘。
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楼主说的挺详细的,看看
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谢谢楼的的分享
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新人学习了,感谢楼主
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
谢谢楼主的分享~~!
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来学习楼主的经验
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看看什么情况
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多谢楼主的分享~学习了!!
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谢谢楼主无私的分享
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看看什么情况@@
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