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[打法交流]
玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”，搁你头上你晕不晕？（转）
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玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”，搁你头上你晕不晕？嘀嘀嘀”，短信来了。
w5 V- L1 }$ @ v0 q打开一看：“彩票公司回报彩民，向您透露本期双色球蓝号：15。请勿外传，机会只此一次，请善加把握。”
# i8 Q$ Q$ x$ Z( G0 f- i4 _, c你嗤之以鼻：“切，哪来的骗子！”
6 l* n5 l- A& k' T一开奖，你傻眼了：蓝球15。1 ^1 c, m' Z8 Z0 z$ r
大腿拍烂了也来不及了！我怎么就没相信人家呢！彩票公司直接告诉我号码了我咋就没信呢！早知道我买它十万注蓝球15哇！
" m9 R) i# _0 ~ g/ J4 u还说人家是骗子，人家开奖之前告诉我号码，就一个15，一开就中了，人家哪里骗我了！; |0 U& @4 a" ~- ]* L5 q
于是，你疯了一般后悔、痛恨自己错失良机。
/ A0 `: w. ]7 S1 C再过几分钟，你的想法发生了变化，刚才的悔恨已经变成了希望----要是它再给我发一次该多好！$ t1 j9 \. W5 }. L3 e- T
这时电话打过来了：“恭喜您中奖，蓝球15您打了多少倍？”4 c: X) n4 M4 I6 B1 h# s* c: y
你捶胸顿足，求对方再告诉你下期的蓝号。" A$ {$ R( |. O& q
对方犹豫不决，你主动提出给人家好处。6 A) H; p3 {) A2 Z6 J
于是，用一万块钱买了下期的蓝号。! W5 p" c* ~ F7 f7 O2 Q
他告诉你10号。
' U/ k8 z0 ~7 I8 Z0 X接下来呢………………
9 Q; r' u' C* b7 K$ d, ~……………………………… J1 B5 D8 U7 [5 |, e! K0 G4 J
……………………………………" K* W! t% r1 Y
你倾家荡产买的蓝球10，全折了。 n2 x9 D! p5 ] C5 v+ y! ~
明明它就是骗子嘛！+ v5 n2 V* l0 P3 U' l/ }
可是，他那个蓝球15是怎么准的呢？( K; n6 C( ?' Q7 s: }
这就是幸存者偏差。你看它只看到一个点，而他面对的却是16万个随机目标。 r( G1 D y( g2 v( |8 A
他给这16万个电话号码发短信，第一万个人它告诉蓝球1；第二万个人它告诉蓝球2；第三万个人它告诉蓝球3……你是第十五万个人中的一员，他告诉你15。
/ l1 V; B8 m ^ k一开奖，必定有一万个人会发现自己收到的“唯一的蓝号”中奖了。
8 ~! H5 E( E T: ?: @# _/ D这一万个人中可能有二百个恰好是彩民。" n' u! i( ^; }5 `
这二百个彩民当中肯定可以涌现出一两个像你一样“头脑灵活”的人。& D: l/ C! {9 M
于是，你幸运地成为“一码中蓝”的上钩者。
3 o$ {+ U8 X: @6 y' o
6 D0 L3 S# z8 K- _" [ |
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