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对于庄家而言,给出平手盘一般有三种情况:
; R$ K7 _4 v' J% m" g1、双方状态实力比较接近而客队印象略好的$ z4 e; \. s+ C! R# q6 o
2、主队偏弱、客队偏强,但存在造盘题材的。
4 m1 k) k* h: I2 t0 b/ t C0 f3、客队排名靠后而且在客场,但是由于传统强队印象,或是历史交锋占优的球队。 P8 y# _. s) ^$ Q2 l% Q* {
平手盘赔率一般为2.3.2组合形式,但在历史交锋平局偏多时或者庄家认为平局较可能发生时,也多采用2-2-3甚至2-2-2赔率组合,平手盘的开出一般有两种理由,一是庄家看穿平局为最可能发生的结果,用平手盘来均衡注码。二是庄家认为两个球队综合情况分析下相当,任何结果都可能发生。由于平手盘的球队要么实力接近,要么有题材过于鼓惑,因此平手盘对于投注而言显得比较有难度。3 f* k* @5 o3 a7 `1 A4 z( F
根据上文,我们分析平手盘下的几种情况。6 n3 D1 Z3 `6 a; w# B0 z
1、主弱客强型。
9 l/ C7 T) k. U B- ^(1)主队近来势头反弹,而客队势头下降,形成平手盘。 t/ V! p$ O, a2 k7 X/ B) W6 k
这种情况下,上下盘都有题材,理应看好势头反弹一方(主队)。但由于客队更强,同样很容易吸引到资金,因此这种平手盘的表现在,谁低水谁不败。当然主队升平/半给高水就不好了。9 H" @9 @/ D7 a8 _, P# [, g; K7 N% H/ J
(2)主队虽然弱而且近来势头不行,但历史交锋占优势。
. ~0 F5 m% ~; j* I* c0 `这种情况下,上盘题材仅仅是历史交锋。此时应该慎重考虑庄家造热方向,低水一方很容易把视线转过来。因此此平手盘下,高水一方肯定占据优势,准确说大可不败。
* f, K) V- K' L4 v8 P(3)主队近来势头反弹,客队势头正猛,但客队历史交锋占优。
) ^; g( \7 b) D这种情况下,上盘题材是势头反弹,但闲家很难相信弱队的反弹,此时对于客队而言,要么完全保持高水不变,要么迅速客队降为平手低水,否则客队难胜。8 h' l$ M. R5 u2 H2 q C: Z4 l
(4)主队无论任何一方面都没有让客队平手盘理由时。/ c8 v2 i/ _7 G% V* G
这种情况与第(3)种情况类似,上盘无任何题材,闲家很难相信弱队,此时对于客队而言,要么完全保持高水不变,造客队冷。要么客队迅速升为平/半并降水,给主队好处。否则,客队难胜。/ s1 ~7 @. k+ v9 W. T) _ C
2、主客实力相当型。
. P/ J }& i- `0 V9 r9 [(1)客队排名靠后,但是是传统强队或是历史交锋占优的球队。$ s& f' f" ]# w Z' z7 B
这种情况下,多数为低水方保不败。
7 t) I. Y" B( O* {(2)主队排名靠后,主队历史交锋占优。0 B+ w" S3 O. z- r6 w0 j
这种情况下,无论水位,多数为客队不败。
* p$ w6 N- z7 l# A(3)主队排名靠后,客队历史交锋占优。
. b2 V8 j% T9 a( F这种情况下,若主队为低水方或为高水均占优,主队中水有忧,但多数为主队不败。
4 Y, L6 T' L. w分析仅供参考,具体情况需要到实际比赛才知道。另外,在此引用风水先生的一个定律:8 J% Z4 W% q: ?" ~' m
——主弱客强,且分差较大时,客队维持高水不败。大部分盘口根据即时对比因素的不同,庄家根据自身体系出发,结合欧洲形势,可以得出一个最适合受注的赔率组合,这个组合基本上是庄家“最优”的选择。这是本轮讨论的问题。
$ Z/ s3 \: H! Q9 L- @有些比赛,经过考量,是无法得出一个最优解的,无论怎样做盘,利润都不大,甚至略亏损,这时的做盘原则就是“两害相衡取其轻”,选择一个相对能减少风险的组合受注。这是下轮讨论的要点。8 \- ?2 R. a, k- g" ?1 `
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