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[lastpost] => 2688481 非农就业爆冷！比特币冲高回落71,500美元，降息预期火速升温！ 1730747383 ghjkop
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一周热点回顾总结【只关注与交易相关】： 5 I* ~, L1 f5 w$ T1 n+ U5 [- L
1、OP上线，以太坊L2网络Optimism锁仓量超10亿美元，排在Arbitrum后面【关注Arbitrum也有可能获得空投】； 5 v, M" q# v, m& w4 F6 C2 B
2、USDT场外价格持续缩水，迹象表明有资金在不断的离场； , J8 Y' b' j6 w: k( F
3、链上数据，以太出货量远大于BTC，行情波动较大；
+ \& [) \. |- Y) S2 U+ n4、非农公布后美联储6月份加息50个基点的概率为99.3%，预计到12月欧洲央行加息幅度将超过125个基点；
* h3 G6 K1 _, \3 ]6 e5、数字货币与美股联动关系，交易需密切关注美股走势； / ^) L1 n" s/ r9 S, ?
6、GMT：STEPN官方费用地址转出3100万美元，持续进行变现之旅；
- r; \) Q+ ]% e% N7、WAVES链上总锁仓量近17亿美金，增幅度较大 。 4 r9 _, s% `3 L
一周链上数据明示：
. \) [" e! |0 Q. |6 L- q下图为一周内涨跌幅：
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! N. W1 P6 t/ P- p1 @0 x+ t' X! u1、WAVES，俄罗斯的波币表现突出。【思考：除了消息面和底层发展逻辑，在K线动向是否可以明示行情走势？】；第二名是：ADA,大家有目共睹，此项目属于优质的投资标的，可作为持续跟踪的交易品周。【思考：投资逻辑里面，看空不做空的投资标的筛选，优质的资本币只考虑做多的单边思维】
8 o; R3 n8 P( \! i, u2、表现不错的主流标的：AAVE、AXS、XLM、ICP 【LUNA，只需考虑做空对冲】；
9 d( ~9 ?; a: a4 N9 Z5 P( y下图为以太坊链上净流入交易所数量视图： 9 L7 c* }' j @3 G( E+ p/ [
5月22-6月2日一周时间，ETH净流入交易所296360枚。【思考：大家把币从钱包转到交易所是为什么？是屯币生息吗？】一周的拉高单纯目的就是为了出货。以太的升级转型延期，导致资金撤离外流。
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下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：
) J2 a T) s# h下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：5月22-6月2日一周时间，BTC净流入交易所5447.84枚。其中高位32000--30650区间出货最大。6月3日在29530附近吸筹建仓2732枚BTC。 " w) ` o' E: C# {1 u7 @% {
下图为ETH/BTC交易视图： 8 v. N7 y9 _, X; m! i( b& B
自从5月11日开始，天平开始了倾斜，以太的转型拖延导致了以太大饼的强弱区分。【内部学习会和大家甄别这里的奥秘】 3 `: J5 I u; B: J7 \
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链上数据汇总：盘口来到了月线级别的调整，519的底部调整从超跌——超跌反弹——震仓——二次测试——终极震仓背离走了大约75天时间；本次为月线级别，每个时间级别的走完需要的时间周期可想而知，从链上数据看来，机构尚未开始集中式建仓，说明目前的市场还不是大鳄的心理价位。等待——右侧是最佳的机会。 " Y5 ^/ b; D1 {# G4 i
大盘行情简览：
: d/ l3 n) N1 P0 O) W目前大盘处在日线级别的调整周期，每个次级别大概率要形成不同的超跌反弹的走底形态。建议逢高做空、走底做多，现货不急。熊市交易快进快出，不恋战不贪不急不躁。
# {: r; g, i; a
4 e& ?4 t! L/ t# N/ j周末行情震荡为主【今日不做操盘建议】 % s! S; |% ]0 s/ a
祝大家节日安好！周末祥和！ 来源：金色财经 |
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