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[虚拟币资讯]
盘中宝——BTC反弹滞后于美股 一文浅析X to Earn的产品方法论
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比特币连续9周下跌,创历史最长记录;从盘面上看比特币目前处于超跌状态,短期有一定反弹趋势,这种趋势相较美股科技股似乎有一定滞后迹象。从整体上看,比特币上方抛压依然严重,后市预计维持宽幅震荡。
; P# A! ] |1 u% G8 o2 u一、大盘概述——比特币短线反弹,俄罗斯央行加快开发数字卢布
* g% H: V' V6 ?: h" d大盘行情 ' |6 h" B- M5 [+ Q( g4 H6 f
据币赢行情显示,比特币近日小幅回升,目前BTC短线站上MA5,上方受阻于MA13,上方抛压渐重,预计多空将进一步在3万美元附近博弈,比特币后市预计维持窄幅震荡。BTC 24小时涨幅1.45%,ETH 24小时涨幅1.47%。 6 C, x0 `( l* x/ Q: {
数据观察
( k, V n* z+ l6 a据Coinmarket数据显示,BTC目前市值占比45.8%(昨天46.0%),BTC市值占比略有回落。据alternative.me数据显示,今日恐慌与贪婪指数为10(昨日14),市场恐慌情绪有所增加。据OKLink数据显示,灰度GBTC溢价率为-28.83%(昨日-28.83%),GBTC溢价率变化不大。据币coin数据显示,截止今日13时,BTC当前资金费率 +0.001%(昨日-0.024%),资金做多情绪上升;目前比特币RSI 14(买卖相对强弱指数)为39.81(昨日36.73),场内卖盘力量有所增加。
3 [# V: ?% |1 j) x1 L( k8 S. Y宏观消息
+ b# q+ O2 x. Y俄罗斯央行加快开发数字卢布;
: ]: \8 ~% I$ q s: U4 ]美国CFTC专员建议人们将新的加密代币视为彩票; : H8 E4 F! f( ~. h! A6 g, `
白俄罗斯没收涉及经济犯罪的数百万美元加密资产; 8 X5 o; B. J z: E; Q
比特币已连续9周下跌,创历史最长记录;
; C( W7 c0 ~2 r% S& L6 H" m! q深圳将发放3000万元数字人民币红包;
# {, p7 _; |9 Q. q A5 ~7 ]二、板块异动—Elrong板块涨幅相对较高,4月初以来以太坊L2下降40%
4 b" p9 i1 j( Y! V. v2 q板块数据 , ~: v/ h" k3 f- I. c B
加密市场板块跌幅前五板块有: Elrond 生态(8.9%)、Move To Earn(7.7%)、Music(7.2%)、Yield Farming(4.2%)、Storage(4.1%); ) W' g9 a$ k; T0 I" q4 j3 f: ^, N
机构投资板块
- N2 @6 Z3 o9 ^# ~5 X. U在A16Z Portfolio 板块中,24小时前三跌幅的币种:ROSE、KEEP、YGG; - Y& v0 X6 a' e. ?# ]7 x
在Coinbase Ventures Portfolio板块中24小时跌幅排名前三的币种:RSR、DODO、LUNC; # Z W2 U0 e8 Y Y4 e. U
在DCG Portfolio 板块中,24小时跌幅排名前三的币种为:RSR、ZEN、OCEAN;
7 O2 k1 m' s) B- v: t在Pantera Capital Portfolio板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种为:DODO、LUNC、REP: " F- K) O N, F% k/ J; c
在Animoca Brands 板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种为:SUPER、RENA、MASK; 2 z$ _1 U, g$ ?7 M
板块消息
* b" B8 K" j( M7 h+ i& y' ~经济日报:警惕虚拟货币洗钱套路;
8 D7 x: J1 b- [自4月初以来,以太坊L2下降40%;
. p+ |8 c7 Z ?/ l# q三、大币种异动——LUNC盘中异动,韩国当局对Terraform Labs全体员工进行调查
& ?' z' ]; q# V( v. c* D( j5 h加密市场排名前一百的币种中,跌幅前五的币种有:LUNC(32.0%)、GMT(21.4%)、EGLD(17.9%)、GALA(12.6%)、SNX(5.2%); 1 k2 }" ?7 w; c, ~0 u" g, n7 i2 n
热门赛道币种异动;
, Z+ x( E9 _ p6 a% b0 uDeFi赛道排名跌幅前五:LDO、SNX、AVAX;
a" g" w3 ^+ w6 [) _NFT赛道排名跌幅前五:BAKE、GMT、ALICE ;
+ |1 S# o$ e' V4 k9 DPlay To Earn 板块7日跌幅排名前三:ALICE、WEMIX、DAR ; # V% K8 z1 Y6 T8 j! y
每日热度最高的前五个币种分别为: USDS、BEL、GST、LUNC、SHIB; ( J' i* H9 G& o; V# K$ s+ e
大币种 : y6 n. A' L7 F! i9 ^/ X
韩国当局传唤Terraform Labs全体员工进行全面调查;
8 I3 h) g @. w8 R# {2 ANFT Layer2解决方案Immutable X宣布将于6月起激活协议费用,即将对所有交易收取2%的费用(6月暂按1%收取),该费用的一部分将分配给Immutable,一部分分配给IMX质押奖励池。 ! Z: E9 ]5 b6 F% o) U
四、合约数据异动—BTC多头持仓占优,短线多空博弈激烈
* S. h& y0 S( U3 r2 W据币coin数据显示,截止13:00,BTC在Bitmex上多空持仓量比为:多头55.85%,空头44.15%,多头持仓占优。据OKx合约数据显示,在小时图上,BTC多空持仓人数比震荡走低。综合来看,BTC合约市场多头持仓占优,多空持仓人数比震荡走低,BTC短线多空博弈激烈。 - u' z9 H6 K8 `9 n- a& D. V
五、大V观点——目前元宇宙应用以手机和PC端的内容创新为主 5 y. ^- j) S8 @- N
中国电子信息产业发展研究院近日发布的《元宇宙产业链生态白皮书》显示,截至2022年4月,全球VR/AR企业今年以来获投融资事件超43笔,其中超亿元的投融资事件共18笔,单笔最高融资金额达22亿元,融资总金额达82亿元。IDC预测,2026年全球AR/VR总投资规模将增至747.3亿美元,2022年-2026年复合增长率将达到38.5%。其中,中国市场复合增长率将达到43.8%,增速位列全球第一。业内人士指出,目前元宇宙应用以手机和PC端的内容创新为主,包括虚拟人、3D社交、3D会议等。随着终端设备等硬件方面的投入加大,产业将爆发更大的潜力。 . K4 }; V2 m" \& n
在世界经济论坛上,当问及美国银行(Bank of America)首席执行官Brian T. Moynihan“如果该公司不积极进军加密货币市场,是否会觉得错过了下一件大事”,Moynihan表示并没有。Moynihan解释称:“该银行受到严格监管,这阻止了对加密货币的全面投资。”此外,他强调了该银行在数字化方面取得了重大进展,并透露该银行在区块链上拥有“数百项”专利。
4 E% F! c+ `& Q# _! `, M8 I六、研报解读——一文解析《浅析X to Earn的产品方法论:频次、本金和劳动》
7 R; L y: R- E3 x0 r8 T: _自从Axie以来,X to Earn模式不断出新,本文选取《浅析X to Earn的产品方法论:频次、本金和劳动》一文进行解读,核心内容如下:
/ L0 { H! c+ j9 ]6 V; C1. X2earn是最容易理解的Web3范式之一;
' E8 { F+ V/ Z4 y2 C" c2. 人们以后的工作是在DAO和crypto network中,得到源源不断的收益。在这种范式下,用户、产品和PMF(产品市场契合点)的概念被改变为参与者、网络和投入回报比。 s2 v( i4 b, ]
3.市面上超过50款X2earn产品的共同点是:用token做冷启动,用市值的快速膨胀来吸引参与者(投入劳动or资本),直到规模出现,通过游戏化、收费服务,或外部性经济活动进行盈利。
. r" C v* O& {8 i1 d, z4 X8 d, G4.对参与者来说,X2earn创造了一个新的要素市场,让自己的资本和劳动力可以发现更高效、公平的变现方式,得到合理的经济利益回报,创造社会价值。 , m3 t9 p8 Q; k2 N# a
5. x 2 earn产品设计的生命周期包含如下周期:市值膨胀期、市值收缩期、不确定期、第二次增长曲线期、死亡螺旋期(一种可能性)。 \ | [: v& N& i
6.参与者的投入回报三角:频次(frequency):参与者完成任务和获得奖励的频率;本金(capital):参与者购买投入的财务成本;劳动(work):参与者在本金以外,需付出的汗水。需要明确,高频次的劳动往往是标准化的,门槛较低或者可以机械化的;低频次的劳动往往是个性化的,需要专业知识技能。
" _. S/ L1 v. q, W4 @7.选好大方向,高频打低频;拆分和组合很重要;不要仅围绕资本设计,要引入劳动价值。
5 M8 a! J z2 y3 |4 {3 k来源:金色财经 |
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