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[体育菠菜心得方法] 赔率与盘口、亚盘与欧盘对比、分析方法
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1#
根据对阵双方,确定一个合理的赔率; L$ h7 |+ e  N# l( @% l! S3 h
2、对比博彩公司开出的欧赔,- o7 M* I2 G, D9 d* q' `, d
3、结合亚盘及走势变化,判断是造冷,/提高赔付,造热,/降低赔付,(这一步目前卡住了,不得其门而入)
+ \3 B5 B: D& p& l4、结论
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+ P! T5 s7 x& u, d% X大多数博彩公司的赔率都是非常稳定的,很少见到有大幅变动(对同一场比赛)" s* c% Q& D, b9 o0 M0 V# @8 O
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第一步就错,合理?怎么算合理?,你怎么判断合理?开赔的因素千千万,你怎么确定什么是主什么是次?4 u! |3 w2 f, ^/ w& u) _) p

* d: o$ y' X7 X4 w( ~我的合理定义是与欧洲平赔误差在3%以内,目前大概有80%,其余20%就定义为不合理。经过验证,大部分欧赔是体现了双方的实力差距,而另一部分则具有相当大的蛊惑性。) h/ P% e5 i9 b% K/ ?
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关于赔率和盘口
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大众投注预期分析是很主观的东西,包括必发等数据因为包含了其他因素都不能准确反映大众注码的流向,欧赔应该是很谨慎的,并不完全是概率的体现,博彩公司赔率开的高低并不完全代表其真实看法,因欧赔变化较少,因此其开出一定是经过精准的预测的,也就是精算,他们的盈利应该是一个范围,并不是说能够像亚盘一样追求利润最大化,因为欧赔是三维的,没有亚盘风险高,那么追求稳定的盈利,比如抽水,偶尔并不介意稍稍倾斜一下,诱导玩家注码大热而死,但是这种极端情况应该比较少,有也是玩家自己造成的,我觉得欧赔永远比亚盘客观,但是亚盘为了追求利润最大化以及极端控制风险所采取的手段肯定是有破绽的,这个就需要聪明的玩家自己去发掘了,。6 u! K% ~1 ^4 }  \

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赔率和盘口哪个对预判赛果更有价值?8 b8 q9 z3 i+ \' y2 x

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2 e. U' D2 S. K8 p* _赔率和盘口哪个对预判赛果更有价值?大家都来说说,发表自己的看法,共同交流进步!不谈欧亚结合,就单一的来看,哪个更有价值?买足彩,研究的赔率(很浅显的),亚盘不懂。所以特向大家请教,赔率,盘口,哪个对预判赛果更有价值?
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7 y8 F, b& P' }0 |) C% f6 @* L如非要选一个的话。就是欧赔了。原因是亚盘是在欧赔的基础上开出来的。
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不同状态空间的价格体系,不好直接比较。
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. R3 y+ |4 E2 Z0 T* R# s同样的欧赔,会出现三种不同的结果。同样的亚盘,也会出现三种不同的结果。怎么判断呢?个人认为,结合基本面来判断。
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4 \# ~+ l% U& @) ?3 K# |- M; m单一个欧赔或者是亚盘,不能说明什么,也说不明白什么。能成为亚盘高手,关键是懂得欧亚结合。你的前提是不说欧亚结合,所以欧赔和亚盘分开了,什么都不是,更别说价值了。等于成了有价无货的产物了。
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2#
等于成了有价无货的产物
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3#
欧赔肯定不是完全概率的影响,不带蛊惑性庄家吃什么
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4#
谢谢分享,进来学习!
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