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财联社9月18日讯（编辑 周子意）周三（9月17日），美联储下调利率的决定以及美联储主席鲍威尔的谨慎表态，对比特币的走势影响都不算大。
. h+ l" s! }7 w7 m/ O+ s+ @不过，此次会议结束后，分析师们普遍认为，比特币的价格在今年剩余时间内将会持续上涨。0 r' F1 o& A: K5 h
他们表示，鲍威尔对就业市场疲软状况的强调以及所展现的更广泛担忧，可能会导致美联储进一步的降息举措，从而推动比特币及其他加密货币价格上涨。他们还指出，包括加密货币储备增长在内的其他因素也是利好。
: e5 h$ j! t( V; T: p/ F/ O宽松环境将支持加密生态系统& n7 t: C* i9 f4 d. o& t
周三，美联储将其设定的商业银行间隔夜拆借利率区间下调至4.00%至4.25%之间，相当于降息25个基点。7 Z- ?, @$ W2 ~0 \" X5 B
这是今年以来，继五次货币政策会议均未调整利率后的首次降息，同时这也是美联储在经历了数月来自美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的巨大压力之后做出的决定。
: X+ U4 j5 L" s' r鲍威尔对记者表示，“通胀风险倾向于上行，而就业风险则倾向于下行，这种形势颇具挑战性……鉴于我们的框架要求我们平衡双重使命的两方面，而就业方面的下行风险已经加大，因此风险的平衡状况也相应发生了变化。”同时，他指出“更高的关税已经开始推高某些商品的价格。”) ~8 w, r, d; A# R& |0 D3 h
对于鲍威尔的一番言论，前纳斯达克数字资产部门负责人、现Offchain Labs公司负责人Ira Auerbach称，“鲍威尔将今天的举措描述为‘风险管理举措’，尽管声明中提到了就业增长放缓以及通胀仍处于高位的情况，但并没有大力推动50个基点的降息。”
$ h5 s' U1 A+ P) g% D8 OAuerbach补充道，“联邦公开市场委员会的声明和预测勾勒出了一条基于数据的未来降息路径。未来宽松的金融环境应该会对加密货币生态系统起到支持作用。”; Q1 K! {- F( { y3 x- Y1 c
比特币未来路径2 R6 O1 z8 }. G0 O- L# C
在美联储降息消息发布后，据加密货币数据提供商CoinGecko的数据，比特币的交易价格约为117,000美元，与过去24小时内的价格基本持平，因为投资者之前已经消化了降息的影响。此后，比特币价格略有回落，降至116,600美元。 |0 N2 W2 X: z7 |) \7 N4 [
相比之下，以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数和标准普尔500指数这两项指数均有所下跌。而在美联储最新决议公布前的一周里，加密货币和股票市场均出现上涨，比特币在过去一周内上涨了2%。' Q$ y/ i" d9 d; ^7 Y; o A
加密资产管理公司 Hashdex 的全球市场研究主管Gerry O’Shea指出，比特币对这一消息的反应较为“低调”，但他同时写道，“其他因素可能在未来几周内会推动比特币价格上涨，包括企业对比特币的储备、以及交易所交易基金（ETF）的持续需求。”
% N- H: `; p4 l他指出，“这些因素，再加上市场对进一步降息可能性的更大信心，或许将在未来几周推动比特币价格再创新高。”( F( |3 n) ]/ F" n
过去一周，比特币ETF的资金流入量创下7月以来的最大值，持仓量也创下新高。
* [$ m" n& D% ^8 }专注于加密货币领域的投资银行FRNT Financial的首席执行官Stephane Ouellette认为，“华尔街将步入一种前所未有的（货币）贬值周期，这种情形自2021年以来从未出现过。”/ [: ~' M) v& \4 E
“而比特币显然是应对这种贬值的一种可行方案。这种情况或许不会一蹴而就，但我们认为，随着利率持续下调，投资者会逐渐将更多资金投入比特币，以保护自身的购买力。”
@) K$ h0 i; Z2 k5 C（财联社 周子意）
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