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[lastpost] => 2781160 谁在抛售比特币？为什么比特币价格下跌？（转） 1763036290 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
狗狗币——比特币最新价格反弹后，memecoin 的走势如何？（转）
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随着 BTC 回升至 10.6 万美元以上，狗狗币短期内反弹的可能性增加
$ \$ u' A- x! h3 N' ?9 w8 ?尽管 MVRV 比率为负，但狗狗币的派发阶段仍表明看涨信心较低
' {7 ~$ X r' @( }! J. L% F6 w# N狗狗币[狗狗币]上周，该股遭遇挫折，在关键阻力位0.2美元处遭遇阻力。此后，该股已跌至0.17美元的局部低点。周一，比特币[BTC]从 105.6 万美元上涨至 108.4 万美元——撰写本文时涨幅为 2.72%。# E0 U+ X) @/ L9 T4 N
; a% J9 a: j! G; s- v未来可能还会有更多上涨，但宏观经济形势似乎与上周一样黯淡。此外，中东紧张局势似乎远未得到解决。在这种阴郁的背景下，领先的 memecoin 的价格走势并未改变长期投资者看跌的倾向。
6 c& r: @3 V, j( e8 b" t- n
$ A9 \5 s0 W9 R; L. Y6 |AMBCrypto 最近的一份报告强调了人们对山寨币的预期。永续合约市场似乎正在为大事约70%的山寨币交易者明显偏多，而大盘股资产的交易者则有60%偏多。事实上，在上周的暴跌之后，他们原本预期市场将出现复苏。7 p' f5 `9 T. c
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应该 DOGE交易员们也转向看涨了吗？2 A9 A7 I: P' A, h' F
' w7 D& d. w$ C/ ]2 a L! _5 g$ ?
狗狗币仍对投资者保持看跌倾向
) P/ B# m+ p) h2 Y在一个在 X 上发帖，加密货币分析师阿里·马丁内斯观察到，TD Sequential 在狗狗币的 12 小时图上闪现了多个买入信号。然而，正如之前的分析指出的那样，狗狗币的 HTF 倾向仍然看跌.
% C! K- u! G( A8 B: F0 t! A, Q1 \5 z+ X9 v- K% N9 l
OBV 的抛售压力加大，加上 RSI 的看跌势头和看跌结构，意味着突破 0.2 美元可能极其困难。
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7 h( I! _' q+ s3 a- a2 D4 y% v仔细观察六个月或更短时间持有狗狗币的投资者行为，可以发现他们正在进行分配阶段。平均币龄（衡量所有狗狗币在其当前地址停留的平均天数）在过去五周多的时间里一直呈下降趋势。' S1 E, w0 U/ X- z1 S6 A
! f2 s9 b! m! l4 a: i这一下跌趋势意味着狗狗币正从持有地址中转移，可能是为了出售。过去一个月内，狗狗币流通量激增也凸显了链上活动的活跃。! n0 E6 C- l% z! v( |* Q
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与此同时，即使领先的 memecoin 进入了分发阶段，180 天的 MVRV 比率仍然为负。
# h0 U7 k6 Y6 }
/ l1 Q; f9 E! i* Q' w* E这对投资者来说可能是一个令人沮丧的信号。根据TD Sequential和比特币的反弹，交易员或许应该做多，但投资者仍应保持警惕。7 c1 R4 ]; ~5 L* h* Z: a
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