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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四, B) I6 g. o+ K7 U
7 ^' ?% t# H9 h. y2 Q# G
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置2 f8 R1 I8 C3 i0 Q
* K1 Z$ S4 l! K8 v2 z6 {1 _
比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公; w2 F" u; p4 A8 z( b5 O s4 g# E
. f7 o( ~5 m7 k8 l% |- f司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
) [$ S$ B+ b- m, W. N在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
) L! J) S% L, X3 S) s9 Y8 z9 h: o( n# e2 ]1 h
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金 g" O$ W4 z2 r# x4 v+ p
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(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。( T6 h# _% J5 o6 ]: N
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货" O$ f5 ^, x1 X( d! T3 r" w
! y6 c* @& S0 q4 d0 _币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，7 h, b) a% O- M+ F9 B8 A6 H
! p5 L) ~, H" U% o) o* d8 T并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。7 p% f9 _+ u/ g" S! l; W, z
( G, a. }6 f* f7 T5 V% V“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特: \5 s7 P/ A9 N7 g; N
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币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价' A% J1 E( K6 f1 _' u
. `9 ]* \1 L6 y格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。" c9 \5 i, ^/ D: N' |( D1 J7 w
& d, `8 r; n2 |$ C* y8 `# M在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
- j& b! a' ~5 E7 R: x% k, s* z, X, Y5 b) V. X
力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，( y' [( a# g$ Q0 v% p
: L" y( u+ N6 r6 S2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。. t$ X3 ?8 Q0 X6 z9 f" {( b# k
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自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到; y2 O6 c4 f* g, }! q8 w' H' h
0 B- d0 b* M- V" g' A! m' X
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
, f5 t2 _1 u4 O/ i' W4 E& W& P" {0 q# M. W) f
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下1 N' m2 G. f# s; U
f x" b7 ^9 ^- L3 G
降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该& x/ H8 ?0 f# v3 H" @' u
! K3 F/ P ]1 R会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。/ ], s/ Y3 e' b! C
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