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J& _ x* @9 _5 Q. M美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在11日批准11档比特币现货ETF,加密货币产业迎来重要里程
1 n7 H+ @9 M" H8 T碑,市场开始乐观认为,以太坊现货ETF接下来也可望获批,目前共有7档申请等待SEC核准,包括贝莱德、富
6 y- l& c H) Y/ `0 i" A* B达、灰度、VanEck、方舟/21Shares、Invesco/Galaxy及Hashdex。
$ S. D: ]6 @. mSEC对VanEck、方舟/21Shares和Hashdex以太坊现货ETF的最终审批决定期限落在2024年5月,其他申请则在( W( ^5 ?( S5 S- q9 f/ S
2024年的6~8月内。
- E7 x Y% s+ t: H' F以太坊现货ETF今年底前推出?- \1 e0 w# y0 W! t+ w
而据Santiment在X平台发布的民意调查显示,52.4%网友认为,美国将在今年底前推出以太坊现货ETF,9.8%的
4 {8 r6 A& v3 J5 B) R! ]3 F" Y网友更乐观,预期本月就能获得批准,另有26.5%看好在明年或之后批准,11.3%的人认为永远不会发生。
, O$ C9 u+ z* n然而,美国投资银行TD Cowen认为,SEC不会很快就批准以太坊现货ETF,TD Cowen Washington Research
5 `6 M- d8 g% A: G, z3 A$ R. |, `Group在本周稍早发布的一份报告中表示:预期SEC不会很快批准其他加密货币ETP。因为SEC希望从比特币ETP5 j7 g3 L0 y6 N+ G) y: f
中获取经验,然后再批准以太坊或其他加密货币ETP。等待批准的时间可能不会长达26个月,但很可能要到美国) [" C8 s0 e; h# l
总统大选之后。
- j. M/ }& V! R( T摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou也看衰以太坊现货ETF在今年5月获批的可能性,他向The Block表示:
4 S0 B* q( [* z; \+ C0 E- D6 D我们认为,如果SEC在5月批准现货以太坊ETF,就需要将以太坊归类为商品,而非证券,类似于比特币,但这还0 B. N9 }9 A' Q5 B# K, I- G. u
远未确定,我认为,SEC在5月前将以太坊归类为商品的可能性,不会超过50%。" y+ ?2 K* W; Q$ I" h2 x" w- e- ]
以太坊价格一度飙升$ n1 A& g5 c. u) p1 m& a ?
此前,由于市场乐观预期以太坊现货ETF可望获批,在比特币现货ETF通过后,以太坊价格一度狂飙,再加上贝莱
7 J5 K( H' d/ H8 a1 {5 P德执行长LarryFink发布言论,称看到以太坊ETF的价值,以太坊在13日冲上2,717.32美元,创下自2022年5月9日" b- N9 }4 H$ a% z$ l
以来的新高,不过随后又急挫。7 b1 A# R! U6 S$ G
至截稿前,报2551美元,近24小时跌幅0.1%。! W4 H1 p* f9 o x
尽管TD Cowen、摩根大通皆不看好以太坊现货ETF很快获批,但彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart在年初表示,
+ t7 \. x) @5 c. T/ b9 J6 L' l# w2 ESEC在去年批准9档以太坊相关期货ETF时,已「含蓄地」默认以太坊是商品,他看好今年可望有首个以太坊现货- p" ?9 M! F, O, x2 B
ETF上市。
: X: k: F) @5 ^& S" T$ G* @- `! c4 t: o& m
1 h- f k- S- V7 ?9 [# U |
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