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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，4 Z9 D. B5 \( a+ g
! E$ i6 l6 |1 _6 g1 p) ~$ ^. t比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？' c( w. g; d3 g6 t& t
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：' N1 m; B# L1 T
0 \, z4 ?: S0 L. k" a1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在) e0 q; r$ E7 e; t+ Z2 e
: }% b4 G8 b; b3 p2 ?; H7 x
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
/ c* w& i0 J$ @
. u# N! q" R* R. f: i' g中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
# p, z7 B. L- E1 Y7 t8 @# C. |. ^
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
8 ~) [* f. m! e2 _5 z4 d9 M- ^; o' V: j1 m& d; B7 t- F
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
" R' s( n* N4 f) _0 b# q/ C
' S K& s0 Y% `/ ?9 iLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
1 ^1 a P7 t/ u$ y8 p, q2 S$ ]8 q* C% a
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿% @8 k" U" R$ y* _, m/ S, T
3 \. N; f. |5 m4 N. F, o美金）。 N( @+ k* I) ?
& Z7 |! x( V1 o5 b/ o" m* `& d5 {" o
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态! d# f$ Q' U3 B. T/ B2 c w
1 {$ b; L. V! @4 j" P# x2 t# V
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
( S; \6 J% ^. C9 t
! O' r( U0 a4 P' t. M) Y# d; E+ }7 o构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。7 u: {, K) C8 t% t$ |
6 w0 Y( v) C" C4 O3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
4 c: {0 o1 f# A" ]+ }& c: A2 X+ z, s% K/ ]9 C3 W7 K$ J
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
) z r9 Q; U, R) X2 I2 L' ~' d' h
) R/ n- x% X) h8 S2 g7 S4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL8 U; h8 Y) y: ~2 }/ h1 |- Q- [6 h
* g* ]- X! l$ A! ]0 }+ }+ K
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如: h2 ^9 I$ o. b2 [7 O$ ?
# P2 G- O8 r1 ]0 o( n
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
$ I# Y# b; m% n9 b# r7 x m' q: x4 ]" l1 G0 d
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。 l5 t/ {4 o0 {- L
; O- H$ ?& H) B5 D( y
1 a r; e* c7 V3 Y8 M
5 l9 F. K# F: ~6 T+ J* _ |
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