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[lastpost] => 2759832 BTC震荡下探至11.3万，ETH逼近前高，多空比偏多但资金面平静 1756110330 whywhy
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在2023年5月2-3日联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议之前，标准普尔500指数在过去5天里以接近1%的涨幅结束了本周。美联储会议之后将公布2023年5月4—5日期间的初请失业金数据和失业率。虽然市场预计美联储将在一系列目标加息中最后一次加息25个基点，但任何进入2023年6月的鸽派前景迹象美联储会议可能会使市场保持活跃。然而，围绕美联储利率决议可能会有一个空头陷阱事件，因为新的目标利率可能是55.25%，而央行的目标是将通胀率保持在2%以下。/ X& g9 x1 V8 w
E" k! V9 b' X+ `3 M' E此外，交易员预计，通胀降温和就业市场的稳定可能导致美联储在2023年6月14日再次召开FOMC会议时暂停加息。如果加息暂停生效，加密货币市场可能会在美联储转向预期中采取看涨立场，这意味着在未来的会议上降息。
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比特币在未来45天看涨？( j8 M* T6 U% t7 a
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由于市场预计6月14日会议将暂停加息，美联储主席鲍威尔在后FOMC新闻发布会上任何鸽派立场的暗示都可能是设定未来45天市场情绪的关键。然而，消费者物价指数（CPI）和就业数据的进一步波动可能会削弱在不久的将来暂停加息的前景。此前，CoinGape报道称，比特币价格可能会在31000美元的水平上看到阻力，而目前的价格范围为29243美元。4 e0 p" ~! d6 Q( U; y4 }
1 p" @# I9 `3 Y" o& j' ~) |4 o: i根据CME FedWatch工具，多达84%的受访者预计美联储将在5月3日的会议上决定加息25个基点。因此，加息的预期线可能会引发比特币价格下跌，然后采取上升路径，这取决于鲍威尔的评论。高盛的经济学家已经表示，他们预计美联储不会在2023年6月加息。因此，未来45天比特币价格可能整体看涨，即使许多人预测比特币将高达100,000美元。
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任何事情/东西都会有反弹的可能性吧~ 像是比特币这种更是无话可说了。 |
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