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[lastpost] => 2758614 比特币价格预测：三角形跌破后 BTC还能守住11万美金吗？-转 1755782999 whywhy
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行情数据显示，全球最大加密货币比特币的价格在过去24小时内下跌3.4%至28,200美元。TradingView数据显示，Coinbase交易所的比特币与美元交易在美国股市收盘前不久跌至27991美元，但随后反弹。1 d% t( }3 ?0 e3 K' A0 i
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第二大加密货币以太坊也丢失2000美元关口，截至发稿前报价来到1942美元，未能延续此前的涨势。在上周，比特币价格曾一度触及31000美元，以太坊在完成“上海”网络升级后一度站上2100美元。( n+ h5 T3 ~1 {6 ^. ]1 o. z
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加密货币整体的颓势导致相关股票在周四的美股交易日中大幅下挫。其中加密矿业股票领跌，Marathon Digital (MARA)和Riot Platforms (RIOT)股票均下跌约 10%，Hut 8 Mining (HUT) 下跌9%。刚刚在美上市的比特小鹿（BTDR）跌幅4.06%
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. A5 H8 S! G1 j% ~加密货币交易所Coinbase (COIN)和MicroStrategy (MSTR) 的股价均下跌超过6%，MicroStrategy目前持有超14万枚比特币。美股大盘也呈下跌态势，标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数当日分别下跌0.6%和0.8%。道琼斯工业平均指数(DJIA)下跌0.3%。
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对于加密货币的本次回调原因，并没有明显的诱导原因，但市场分析人士给出了一些观点。
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数据显示，周四上午公布的美国经济数据显示出一些疲软。其中首次申请失业救济人数增加 5000人至24.5万人，高于预期。4月份费城联储制造业指数跌至-31.30，预期为-19.2。最后，美国3月份成屋销售下降2.4%，而预期为增长5%。
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; X( U7 a" P4 z3 @2 m, k2 S距离美国联邦储备委员会联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 的下次会议还有两周时间，目前短期利率交易员已将再次加息25个基点的可能性预计为接近100%。2 H$ n- a: e* f! L
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加拿大加密资产管理公司3iQ的研究主管马克·康纳斯则将本次比特币的下跌与美国监管问题联系起来，并指出“市场流动性仍然严重倾向于亚洲”。该公司在其2023年比特币展望中强调：“随着对美国监管令的希望黯淡，且许多参与者促使监管重新启动，我们可能正在进入整合期。两者都在抵消比特币的长期运行和结构性上涨”。
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7 ~( e( O Z. @( P/ g* U/ x外汇做市商Oanda的高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚呈类似观点，他在一封电子邮件中指出，比特币最近的下跌是在Coinbase首席执行官表示加密货币交易所巨头可能离开美国之后发生的。6 u$ k) _' o5 y! E1 L
8 C# P+ |3 E" v) z6 E; E3 w爱德华·莫亚称“如果Coinbase离开美国市场，很多美国交易员将会离开，因为他们可能不会对在去中心化交易所进行交易感到自信，这意味着全球加密货币市场将大幅萎缩。在我们有任何监管明确之前，比特币将在这里挣扎，这意味着价格似乎将会走低。”
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7 ?. N" T+ i0 j K" Z+ I' v: _截至发稿，比特币报价来到28252美元，以太坊报价为1943美元。2 `" U2 M# \8 k7 ?4 c
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