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[lastpost] => 2644436 疑似Justin Sun钱包自2月12日以来已从Binance和DEX买入295,757枚ETH 1713766621 比推快讯
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比特币永久未平仓合约表明空头挤压导致崩盘
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上周的比特币崩盘对市场来说是一场残酷的崩盘。它看到数字资产失去了立足点,从刚刚低于 30,000 美元的趋势跌至 17,000 美元左右,然后才开始复苏。随着新的一周,市场开始出现绿色。但随着比特币难以维持在 20,000 美元以上,问题仍然是引发如此崩盘的原因。
短暂的挤压
在过去的几周里,比特币对 perps 的持仓量一直在上升。在市场崩盘和随后的复苏中,情况一直如此。然而,导致比特币崩盘和崩盘期间的未平仓头寸水平,主要是涨跌,具有空头挤压的所有特征。
周三,在经历了一周不可预测的走势后,比特币永续合约的持仓量最终达到了 335,000 BTC 的历史新高。这是比特币跌破 21,000 美元的时候。随着数字资产的价格开始回升,永续合约的持仓量迅速下降。像这样的运动与短暂的挤压有关,在这种情况下也是如此。一个发生在周末另一场崩溃之前。
持仓量依然高企| 资料来源:奥术研究
周末的情况也是如此。在价格下跌至 17,000 美元左右时出现不稳定走势之后,对永续合约的未平仓头寸再次飙升至 325,000 BTC。此后,随着 BTC 的价格回升,未平仓头寸再次下降,尽管这次有所放缓。
比特币 Perps 以折扣价交易
与现货价格相比,比特币永续合约的交易价格仍然有折扣。这并不奇怪,因为即使经历了崩盘和大规模抛售,比特币的融资利率也一直保持中性至低于中性。此外,通过崩盘和最终恢复,比特币永不发生任何重大事件,
有趣的是,随着 BTC 的价格挣扎在 20,000 美元以上,资金费率现在一直低于中性。融资率影响最大的一个地方是 Deribit。由于传闻它与三箭资本(3AC)密切相关,融资利率的下降引发了对破产的担忧以及与 3AC 崩盘有关的谣言。
然而,值得注意的是,Deribit 已向公众保证,即使 3AC 债务被没收,它的财务状况也会保持健康。随着市场开始从上周的崩盘中走出来,融资利率已经开始企稳,尽管它们仍略低于中性水平。
来源:金色财经 |
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