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风投资深人士 Alex:下跌让市场更理性 下一个“BAYC”可能仍出现在头像 NFT 赛道
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Alex 从大约 2015 年开始浸淫区块链领域,也经历了市场的大小起伏,对于新兴的NFT赛道,他秉持着开放且谨慎的态度。Alex 对比推表示,NFT领域的创新非常多,让人耳目一新,然而从受众角度来看,头像(PFP)类 NFT 仍然是潜在的下一个与 Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC)热度相抗衡的细分领域。 NFT领域"鱼龙混杂" NFT 自2021年以来吸引了越来越多的参与者,然而项目质量参差不齐。Alex 表示:“这次来参会的很多项目,可能下一次大会就不存在了,我跟一些项目方有一些初步沟通,他们对于行业的理解也不是非常的深入,不管是参会人员还是项目方,大家的认知水平和知识范围都还停留在初级阶段”。 “硬币的正反面” 资本对新兴事物的追逐并不是坏事。Alex 对比推表示,良莠不齐的发展侧面说明了确实有很多新的用户和创业者注意到了NFT。 他说:“我觉得这个是双刃剑法,有好有坏,比如说我们也遇到了一些艺术家,他们想把自己的作品以NFT的方式来发行,也碰到了那种做周边的团队,他们把注意力转移到NFT上,专门来做NFT的周边,这也是一种文化的传播”。 创新应运而生 Alex 表示,在NFT.NYC上也看到了各个方向的创新,从技术底层到商业模式,从平台到项目,头像、会员、通行证,等等。他说:“我看到了一个比较有意思的项目,一个专注于AI的NFT平台,大概有三种NFT,一种是人工智能的大脑NFT,这个大脑可以体现在一个NFT的角色上(虚拟人物),还有一个是form(规则配置)NFT,三个NFT结合起来就可以在平台上训练这个虚拟人物,团队就用这个来做NFT的人工智能足球比赛。这里涉及到两个创新,一个是GameFi,另一个是人工智能。我们并不是直接操作这个角色去踢足球,还是通过数据模型的训练,让它的模型更好,算法更好,然后来去赢得足球比赛。它具体的商业应用也还有待推敲,但是觉得是一个蛮创新的项目”。 NFT下跌让市场更理性 NFT市场正在降温,尽管 OpenSea 仍然保持着头部 NFT 市场的地位,但其平均售价、交易者数量和销量都在下降。5月20日,该平台的日交易量为4300万美元;6月22日,日交易量降至近 1700 万美元。 NFT 批评者在熊市中的声音越来越大,市场情绪正在下降。Alex 认为, 市场里有各种角色,短期的炒作是一种角色,另一种是长期的投资或者文化的信仰者。短期价格下跌是一个更健康的行为,因为如果价格一直持续高涨,大家投资和选择的理性就会降低,只有在市场有波动的情况下,才能过滤和沉淀出一些真正在做事情、有价值的项目。 正因为价格的回落,投资者在投资的时候更谨慎,项目方需要做更有价值、更能够满足市场需求的东西,因此熊市是对市场健康程度的一个治疗和修正。 NFT与文化认同感 Alex 在社交媒体的头像是一只 MAYC NFT,在他看来,有特定文化氛围或者艺术价值的NFT特别吸引人,他说:“比如村上隆,还有最近比较火的goblintown,他们都有非常独特的社区文化。猴子(BAYC)就是一个品牌和社区文化建设得非常浓厚的这么一个IP,它的IP确实是成功的”。 在问到下一个可以和BAYC热度抗衡的NFT会出现在哪个细分领域,Alex 表示:“PFP类型吧,受众广,周期长。其他领域的都还有些硬伤”。 作者:Mary Liu 来源:金色财经 |
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