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[体育菠菜心得方法] 《足球财富》－第1部分 欧洲赔率－第2章 静态预测方法－[本章要点]
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通过前面的介绍，我们知道了博彩公司是在预测和掌握比赛概率的基础上，经过对概率的分析制定出对每场比赛的经营策略，最终以赔率的形态表现出来。我们把博彩公司分析比赛的方法归纳为静态分析和动态分析两种。其中静态分析指的是以比赛球队的基本信息为基础的技术性分析模式，动态分析是以市场因素为主的综合性分析模式（其中也包含博彩公司所掌握的内幕信息）。- H( G' X4 a- X7 g8 k6 V
     要注意的是，两种分析方法的区别不单是形态上的不同，最大的区别在于：静态分析是以预测比赛概率为目标，而动态分析则是已经进入到了赔率和指数分析程序。因此，更严格的讲，静态分析是概率分析方法，动态分析是赔率（指数）分析方法。6 f  c( q$ b8 ]7 W. d9 |
     博彩业在历经200多年的发展历程中，产生了很多建立在概率学、统计学基础上的比赛预测方法，经过无数实践和改良最终形成了三种较为权威的静态分析方法，分别为：埃罗预测法、进球率比较预测法、六场战绩比较预测法。实践证明，欧洲几乎所有的博彩公司都是在这三种预测方法基础上建立了数学模型，从而决定该公司在赛前开出何种赔率。
6 g. V: M3 i; n0 F1 U) K: B     2 I4 v$ V3 v7 _! Y( x
     【本章要点】
/ E4 K. Q& q$ n& L! r- N     要点1：明确静态数学模式是对比赛进行分析的基础。5 o5 ~$ F2 J6 z( j/ T$ n$ T5 S, b: C
     要点2：静态分析法是对概率的合理性的一种论证模式。+ {) s2 F( {% ?% y( ]. E% k
     要点3：站在庄家的角度，对概率的发生可能做出预测。
4 m# ?( H. j9 F1 `4 b5 ^2 F     要点4：中级以上玩家可以尝试利用静态数学模型与其它分析方法组合分析的7 `8 `) w, {7 p5 @, ^2 f2 t1 v
     模式。

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这书很不错,楼主要继续分享给大家!

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感谢楼主分享~~~~~

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学习下.谢谢楼主.

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谢谢楼主分享，学习学习。

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