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[lastpost] => 2769000 比特币 ETF 复苏，流入 2.41 亿美元，以太坊 ETF 交易额创本周新低（转） 1758877557 rainwang
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当前离线
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天策币:
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总在线: 7240 小时
本月在线: 16 小时
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过去一周，比特币[BTC]一直受困于低流动性流入，导致自 8 月 14 日重新创下历史新高以来已下跌 10%。9 U/ F- a- [- |" r2 Y# f6 P
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值得注意的是，这种流动性枯竭通常预示着潜在的看跌情景，因为当市场达到季节性高潮时，投资者开始抛售资产。
! d- g7 ] `4 I+ I; F- U& _- G! A- c5 l7 b8 d) v
然而，新的宏观经济见解认为，尽管逆转的风险仍然存在，但市场仍然看涨。8 q0 {) J5 Z, L7 W. G
+ i& S, B% B/ {. [5 s6 b) i5 v宏观信号依然支持
/ }3 ?/ F! p! }0 p美国宏观经济指标阿尔弗莱克塔尔根据美联储金融压力指数 (FFSI)，比特币和标准普尔 500 指数在未来几天都有进一步上涨的空间。+ i. [6 g ]1 G
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该指数追踪市场紧张程度，高于 0 的高读数表示卖方压力，而低于 0 的数值则反映市场平静和购买兴趣。
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从历史上看，该指标曾预测过重大的市场波动，包括2020年封锁期间。截至发稿时，FFSI低于0，预示着未来仍有增长空间。+ f! G6 S5 N9 W; `$ f
; v- k, F* L+ b市场情绪似乎更倾向于比特币而非标准普尔 500 指数，尤其是考虑到过去一年的表现，比特币上涨了 86.2%，而标准普尔指数则上涨了 15.3%。阿尔忒弥斯.
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! h" x, `( b7 x. y; ]这表明，如果购买恢复，投资者可能会将资金投入比特币而不是标准普尔，因为他们的风险偏好依然强劲。% ]; }$ h' Q7 h8 V7 M
/ ?! D% K5 y" J+ A著名加密货币分析师 Joao Wedson 最近将此描述为市场“平静/观察”阶段，但警告称“价格走势通常比宏观指标反应更快”，从而使资产处于灰色地带。( U4 l$ z1 s- N: R6 {
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他补充道，
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5 w# o% K- k$ J# W5 B“如果FFSI跌破并保持在0以上，这将是一个警告信号，表明美国局势可能不稳定，并直接影响风险市场。”
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韦德森警告称，随着我们进入 2025 年末和 2026 年初，这种情况可能会引发“亚洲主要经济体”更广泛的经济不稳定，从而可能阻止比特币的上涨。7 R6 F8 y/ w$ M
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他敦促投资者做好准备，以免措手不及。/ u1 }+ Z. i- i2 O s
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亚洲比特币市场再度走强- g4 M C, A7 m+ V1 A
亚洲市场正显示出复苏的早期迹象，随着韩国溢价指数达到 0.3，投资者再次对比特币进行买入。CryptoQuant.# Z) t, h1 [! X8 A0 H" ]
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此前，该指数一直处于持续的下跌趋势中，并以红色标记。持续的上涨趋势可能会引发更多资金流入，尤其是来自新投资者群体的资金。- u: X" l0 g( [1 r
; V; T5 d2 A) }' U, K5 R6 L4 U3 m相比之下，截至发稿时，关键市场指标 Coinbase 溢价指数已降至 0.017，这表明美国投资者正在增加卖方活动。
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, Y" ^! N$ p& ?9 C2 c5 n9 z然而，如果这一指标反弹，它可能会增强围绕比特币日益增长的看涨情绪。, ` v" O( M. B8 ~+ C; \# s
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当前离线
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总在线: 14638 小时
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宏观偏暖，量弱，先小仓吧. X+ T7 @# {+ ~" p
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当前离线
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总在线: 13387 小时
本月在线: 85 小时
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当前离线
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总在线: 19290 小时
本月在线: 93 小时
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 44 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
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总在线: 18206 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 146 小时
本月在线: 18 小时
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这种行情，我还是宁愿相信宏观信号，继续看涨比特币。 |
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