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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四* T) @4 h, G! H/ P
; P0 n2 Y! C& \; n& x
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置( {3 `/ y2 x, y3 Y# c
6 J, O, W/ b1 S* Q3 y' S3 W比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
7 m. e; }- Y, r5 X. O; B: d* s! ~4 [; a) W! q
司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。4 w* `; ~0 q# u& A
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比* o, E' v' r w1 J
9 Z7 h; \3 h) J! M2 G特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
1 w N0 b5 }! f- ]: r
: I# r- H$ n# G4 Z* G8 _! A6 F8 l' p(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。, H2 @) V' ]! Z* g# p9 D& ~- [
" B* G/ p. x. h v0 h. b5 G2 L% m& C
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货$ @* o& [# m, }4 V% k
/ V% b3 j6 D1 p/ B8 z" A$ v币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，7 \* V# `' B* O( T+ ~1 S2 }
* P8 X. v2 \6 v8 ~* @并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。! F2 k) B; [+ _( @+ Q& t2 x
# [3 |5 h/ [ N6 g( P% c5 C' B9 N“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
% \5 `. v& Q$ h9 _
& J# {1 E; S' g% m# E' v5 s9 J币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
+ j- E' {& c* I9 ?
6 y" _! Z, v4 S1 G, W5 |格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
# S3 {1 ~% F; b8 F+ X/ T, G2 E+ F6 S: m9 k% J( c
在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
+ R. C6 V# f# y7 S# d1 L2 W( l
) L( N7 n+ ?# _$ j s力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
, G! N9 L: J- K4 s/ o$ ]5 ]9 I
* p9 z' x/ S5 f% t2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
0 x9 A3 M& @0 `# q" ~& N! f- z& d6 o
6 C$ M @9 N' c6 c) o自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到2 M q- @3 t# X1 \! R2 J
+ w& `! R3 S# Z1 }63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。8 p/ Q- J9 {7 x3 {8 y
, L, D" K: }4 h1 |. m& w
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下( r! Y/ p& `/ v' Y. L- s; n0 V7 e
; F8 M5 c, \4 {; X6 T降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
" D/ r* H) x8 r( x1 y
, l/ y) c' K* \" `- }会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
0 D! J: R2 \3 R! V7 U5 j3 `7 V! m" O3 q5 I5 M
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