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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，* V$ s. ~0 u; e9 p* ~* R8 }( j: ^, Y
6 X5 k0 F0 l. U比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？. D" y- |2 Z4 N& ?* ^" U( A
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：% ]0 x. V8 C7 v% s9 A
0 y) R2 V9 k+ l; T/ K: m; n1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在: ~% i8 _$ m0 Z' h
9 _ \7 t" u3 [7 W3 z没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过1 [6 S( \7 @7 [
" @- v. f7 K( p+ o+ b, p; c中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全' j3 T) |0 G' [' Q5 h: j6 a* H4 S
( ]/ i! P# G% l5 g: O
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
- Z0 ]6 F. l4 u% _( N2 s/ y% G$ Z" }# c( c: s! F2 p: | E
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
6 J' S$ m3 I' Z' ? N1 \0 p, Z1 r! K% h( e; I+ f0 Z$ L: @
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和3 z7 i. R0 w3 @) x* g* z0 ]+ ~
. W% l. d1 d" g9 X, UETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿4 ~2 I8 H# H# c$ f7 X0 W; c7 U0 f
' B! T3 j$ Q! K7 N- O美金）。
0 b/ X) X" ~) v, r4 a6 i" j. v
. w* T! k A. g4 X. G& ]! X1 H/ o
2 [* t* y3 q! Z2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态" e. I( p) U) @ x; I m I
8 _6 U$ u3 t" y0 c& |比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去5 X+ v4 m/ C3 m, F( d$ h; V
% {! L( e! A! e4 s
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
5 L! }" j8 y0 x- I& }# S7 l2 z) l! f; h- C" e0 q
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户2 S- ?- O. \& t
) G" f5 A; w$ J- F
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
8 L6 }( `; W* N: H. n! W0 }8 D- n# F
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL4 [- f2 P* C8 X* d' u
# z$ r# l' d" f( q H$ ^- c' h- u
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
8 V3 X3 A) A0 o" j% B2 `/ g6 S5 |$ }
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
% g$ m+ b; |" G) R4 [1 u6 q1 e, k% q, [0 v) J/ Z6 ^
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。0 u; _6 v. |7 }$ |
1 Y% o: p, u. s h- P! W1 d+ t* U9 A# g% z* P$ Y$ h
7 w/ N0 v) Y& K$ d9 V- Q8 b |
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