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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开
- H* X; @: l+ T$ S: I2 b% e始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。
1 n; C2 {( E6 M9 m7 R8 \然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,400
Z& d& o& V! @! u+ s美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。: ~$ I1 p1 E+ M) S! _4 A/ l0 y3 w- u
以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,7964 x& P8 \. T' k' u6 F5 ]
美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。
% }8 g( i* I, f2 W% y$ y过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元' s7 _$ s& C F$ _
受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿
, V* U& ^$ Y" y0 g* h# Q4 o) x美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。
3 h) _4 ?$ _1 g另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高
1 T! z6 [! w( F2 c: q- U- C' z) K7 F460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。
4 t3 p2 d) n8 F4 H联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息 i) I U$ i: ^
美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。
% C% R2 _* c4 v1 Z多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管 ?6 F- u5 ~% c8 s" U9 ]2 z( k) [
「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有
! p, X' m |( o ^9 {& A分歧。* \4 t+ _$ N! E2 G+ t3 Z
7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引1 T) c' p" _: m3 i* N8 D
方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。9 a0 E3 @7 z1 k0 @' j0 B0 K7 {
9月升息机率为13.5%
2 |5 a2 o1 H% r9 j3 F4 ?9 n据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而2 ?2 P2 W7 [8 C! i2 [9 l6 t6 ?
保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。: D4 b0 S2 b0 D8 t% r# `
Fed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔" o9 F% b" r; P% q: B
(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。0 q0 L+ ^# m# X2 @$ B4 l& x# h
1 Q3 M: J( L: z1 y# Z+ r/ O |
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