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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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[lastpost] => 2761495 币圈系列:meme币能投吗?这3个真相,普通人必须知道 1756665726 mxsj2016k
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
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5. 废话的不对称原则
5 z/ f: E5 G5 |反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。. s7 C2 d2 c# a7 j& }9 l
! k' y: ^/ E4 U回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
$ j) p3 [ y2 n# ?' ?, e* V; y! z/ w3 z" ?
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
7 R8 V( D( l( _# o/ B p7 i$ z6 ]( h1 G4 Y+ r/ P! q
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
4 _) k; J6 ?6 `( M9 |8 Z' Z2 K7 C) L8 ^" q/ `( l% l$ g9 V1 F
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。# J" X) m% ^/ {$ I
% t8 ^- U% U$ ?( T4 g, w/ {8 q/ G6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)3 m9 E3 x+ ? E
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。$ L) q3 G* f+ C& U7 z+ V
1 s7 g. A2 U1 R, _( B: Q6 m
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。+ V* d1 c: A/ T% Y1 {0 N: N& M
% v' q/ b) w) l* V1 A
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。' x- R' ?- b6 a
! o+ o+ E9 x( ]
想象一下罕见事件:
6 {/ A! n$ X0 Q! _
: a8 Z# A' g( A; M: L: U2 P2 L" k• 中本聪的钱包苏醒* ?4 y6 [! k3 T2 `+ `* }& O8 b+ u
- }: @+ f" p2 v: Z. B. a• 核打击
. t" j( N+ S3 W1 [4 S- K4 Z& i1 v3 I: ^& ~+ J! ]; F8 o+ E
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!) X; v- F. I2 F4 y: K
6 b5 P* w/ {" f0 N3 |( G9 a1 y
7.二八定律
2 r) I9 n4 o1 d: P2 ^在币圈:
5 E: e% B# i+ g; W# `, R4 J
8 m0 J/ \+ P. [' \1 R; R& H80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。; E& G: O- ?: ~. n
; Q' N$ N# }" p( s+ N. O
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
& i2 R# S. _& n
' `! v8 i& u* G6 U我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
3 M& z6 i2 v3 F6 Y6 h
7 g0 X0 @& r# }+ r% d- I6 O8.网络效应
& A0 R5 R) b/ F g2 {产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。) p4 W! ~& N( I2 ?$ k
% ~. N! a ^' ?" \想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
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一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
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, m) i" z7 f8 J3 w$ h+ r4 o! _: ]投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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