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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
$ m0 t5 ?" r: m& ^比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
# r( B+ {- c0 ]$ g比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。3 M2 Q }. @4 X5 i& x3 {
$ m" A( H a, M, W尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
K3 L3 x f* g4 \) k鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。/ _; ~; q. D; K4 l& S4 U' @
& S7 V2 ?+ y9 m! H* t) w$ ~9 U. h
但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。8 s$ @+ e; T! w) i
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。; @1 R V6 r0 y" V' ^+ [7 n
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 1 ]7 H: M p4 t' N* `
* s, u' u* T2 X. p然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。7 H9 Y5 K- L' o# C9 q
- g, g- d" e( @0 @& W% l b2 q估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突% @0 E' S3 @! X$ z z/ {! Z
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。# Z; C5 v! o0 L3 d6 J# s
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 # @7 O* m: B1 Y- S1 S* d0 U. p, a
- n* d- s( V1 `+ i! C H相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 2 i, t5 O- s3 F H. _7 z4 c
' i( F' f6 ` e如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。1 O$ {; R9 a9 ^6 Z3 i5 W
# `& @* e" c' {! o- {结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。& A' O ]4 O" F
+ j7 T! |1 s' Z% h% bBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
/ m; ~5 o3 h1 J0 b* w8 a7 E- N比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 % `6 O# {& z9 U, W% s. ~% Q
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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