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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份" |8 B6 ?$ u/ S+ `) j0 S
" `! M7 d8 W. ?& }- w6 _! Y报告中特别强调了这一论断。) P/ y1 M0 _( ?4 M# A/ W1 O- f
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以7 S% m* w' c F- {
0 c5 ]8 r- V! Q7 u; Z来的最低水平。4 P3 ?6 F0 X' [% E- c+ Z. ~
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”& i- @9 f0 \1 @+ ~/ C
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+ U) J. h+ `0 n; p6 } H2 n根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指; I* h" J/ m2 z z
; l& f* |$ [/ k9 C数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推6 s$ _8 g2 c2 l z& t8 F
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化: r9 w2 F" f4 F- F& g, ]( k8 O
) ?. V; x# V$ ?& e! E剂。: J6 Y3 M$ z3 W9 T. C
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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8 \7 \" Y" C, M$ i这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破: U8 ~9 j$ ]; L0 U# Z2 r
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了8.7万美元。! ^; A1 s/ E$ R, A" a
+ r7 R$ n9 J& U, `, N( c然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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5 E- [6 v f4 K; `; L分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。3 \! ]8 X# l0 u, a
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”( W( g% [2 C2 J/ _1 w% [
4 N$ T/ \/ H$ N" WCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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1 a, G0 W! m; t8 c易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。. R- }) v7 [4 i+ `- l
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